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  1. jbailey

    Poll: If China invades Taiwan, will they be "cancelled" to the same degree as Russia?

    Have any of you guys read the book "The Kill Chain" by Christian Brose? I can't say I recommend it, but it does point out, using very specific operational details, the military challenge of defending ROC from a determined PRC. It is terribly depressing to read: all of 7th Fleet ships sunk in...
  2. jbailey

    Is something going on in Ukraine?

    Total propaganda but worth watching To the degree videos like this, the story of the "Kiev Ghost" and the Snake Island "F-ck up Russian Ship" shape morale and act as a force multiplier, this stuff does have an impact on the battlefield. Especially so now, when even the lowest private has a...
  3. jbailey

    Is something going on in Ukraine?

    The Ukrainians captured one today, complete with either a bottle of Lipton's ice tea, or a piss bottle (see fender) Good view of the mud conditions as well.
  4. jbailey

    Is something going on in Ukraine?

    So this is weird--- There is a linked video of the leader of Belarus - Lukashenka - briefing his senior cabinet or some other group... See the red arrows all over it representing the deep battle plan (which is being executed so well). What is weird, note the very distinctive First Team (US...
  5. jbailey

    Is something going on in Ukraine?

    See Sitrep map update. Kiev slowly but surely being encircled from two sides. Kharkov holding but lines to defend it getting longer. Donetsk holding but irrelevant. Soviets, I mean Russians, are across the Dneiper at Kherson, but probably not in strength yet. Large Russian mech inf ID'ed...
  6. jbailey

    Is something going on in Ukraine?

    @Mr.BR this dude is also documenting losses from both sides based on pictures https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack-on-europe-documenting-equipment.html Obviously this method is highly inaccurate, but at least its something of a process.
  7. jbailey

    Is something going on in Ukraine?

    Tik Tok full of videos in Ukrainian explaining how to start and operate Russian armored vehicles. There is one with what appears to be 16yr old girl in tennis shoes and preppy hat that starts an APC and proceeds to drive it away like it she is driving her dad's car for the first time. Why are...
  8. jbailey

    Is something going on in Ukraine?

    I would say a modern man-portable ATGM (Javelin, NLAW) is worth a whole lot more than RPG for two reasons: - RPG requires a good bit of skill, to aim and actually hit target. Javelin's computer does all that work, so the Slav in the bush can achieve as many hits as the US Army Sgt Major who has...
  9. jbailey

    Is something going on in Ukraine?

    I read that the Z and V are markings to designate what axis the military unit is advancing from. The Big Z for example is for Zapad, the Russian word for west. As such, they do not refer to follow-on echelons or reinforcements. This video is worth watching to get a sense of the damage being...
  10. jbailey

    Is something going on in Ukraine?

    Here is another one that someone more expert than me ID'ed as a T-90 based on the track pattern... no idea if it is one, but its clear that the "Red Army" is full of fools. It takes real skill to flip 45 ton tracked vehicle and land upside down in water, probably killing the entire crew of 3.
  11. jbailey

    Is something going on in Ukraine?

    T-90 sighting.... stuck in mud, abandoned. RE Armata - you will not see one because it is not operational and perhaps never will.
  12. jbailey

    Is something going on in Ukraine?

    Sorry that the image isn't showing up. Here is the link
  13. jbailey

    Is something going on in Ukraine?

    Russian T72 w/ one of those roof cage anti-missile systems after encountering a US Javelin fired by a Ukrainian. Safe to say those roof cages aren't worth the install time or the scrape metal used.
  14. jbailey

    Is something going on in Ukraine?

    One of the better videos of the mech/armor fight. Watch as the guy w/ NLAW walks up thru the Ukrainian armor and looks down the street for targets. Only thing to see is burning Russian fighting vehicles.
  15. jbailey

    Is something going on in Ukraine?

    also, US announced deployment of additional 7k soldiers, two bdes, likely one from 101 and the other 1st ABCT from 3ID (Go Raiders!!!!) I *think* this is the second ABCT we will add, giving us three once they all are there - 1/1, 3/4 and 1/3. Plus the Stryker Sqd, a BDE from 82 and one from...
  16. jbailey

    Is something going on in Ukraine?

    Is it me or are the Ukrainians winning the social media war? All I see over on Twitter is Ukrainian battlefield success. Hell this morning I saw a long tweet on Russia POWs... 10s of pictures of captured Russians soldiers. Then there are hundreds of tweets reporting '3 Russian vehicles...
  17. jbailey

    Is something going on in Ukraine?

    One more from me today, totally propaganda, but as a former ground-pounder, light fighter, I still love to see these Air Force fly boys (and now girls) over your head. This is the 388th FW F-35s that got there last week, just west of Ukraine. I wonder what it feels like to be up in one of...
  18. jbailey

    Is something going on in Ukraine?

    Additionally, I saw this AAR on Day 1 from a retired US Army Company Commander. Some decent thoughts I thought worth sharing. Don't know the source supporting some of his conclusions, and this remains early on in the operation to draw definitive conclusions. However, its encouraging and...
  19. jbailey

    Is something going on in Ukraine?

    Updated SITREP map. Looks like the breakout in the south might be contained on the Dneiper River (a very significant water obstacle - and a key defensive line in WW2). Donetsk front looks like its holding. Kharkiv is threatened, seeing heavy fighting, but no breakthru yet. Kiev under major...
  20. jbailey

    Is something going on in Ukraine?

    +1 Yes, Russians suck at logistics. Hopefully all those fancy expensive precision missiles are in short supply, preventing them from sustaining the huge advantage they have in indirect fires. Also, indications that the Javelins and NLAWs are making a difference. Ukrainians are claiming they...