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Standard Deviation article.

Ryridesmotox

Hood rat
Full Member
Minuteman
Mar 15, 2019
813
511
It appears to be good information, and may be helpful to people. As always, grains of salt.

 
I look at SD and ES together. Knowing that in a normal distribution 95% of shots will fall within 2 SD of the mean (average), I take the SD and multiply by 4 to get the expected ES. If the observed ES is greater than that, I give more credence to the observed ES. If the observed ES is less than 4 times the SD, I go with the expected ES (4 times SD). Differences between the observed and expected ES are more likely to be seen with small shot samples. When you see a big discrepancy between expected and observed ES, think about obtaining a larger sample and remember that there is a 5% chance that the observed ES will be greater than 4X SD.
 
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