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Inflation.......... ?

So they should not be based on federal treasury auctions? What do you suggest as a benchmark, instead? Are you not concerned about unintended consequences when you distort the market too far?



And what is too high? We are not even back to the student loan interest rates from the 1990s, which were as high at 8.25% in 1995-96. The rate is expected to go up to 6.5% soon, which would be a 16 year high, not an all time high or some sort of record. It is almost more of a normalization.
not sure if you're trying to be cute here

anything backed by the gov't is considered risk free so the loans should be have servicing rate on top of the risk free rate and no more. Instead, we've created a cashcow for the banks and made loans more expensive

private loans, have at it
 
not sure if you're trying to be cute here

anything backed by the gov't is considered risk free so the loans should be have servicing rate on top of the risk free rate and no more. Instead, we've created a cashcow for the banks and made loans more expensive

private loans, have at it
There is a certain amount of risk that the loans would not be paid back. There must be a risk premium associated with it. The originator needs to be compensated to cover that risk, regardless of who it is. The current rate is far from usury.

A $1 loan with 7% rate is nothing. A 70,000+ cost of the education will generate a hard life to repay when most graduates are starting their careers and the interest rate only adds to it. It’s not the current loan rate, it is the principal that is the genesis of the issue.
 
There is a certain amount of risk that the loans would not be paid back. There must be a risk premium associated with it. The originator needs to be compensated to cover that risk, regardless of who it is. The current rate is far from usury.

A $1 loan with 7% rate is nothing. A 70,000+ cost of the education will generate a hard life to repay when most graduates are starting their careers and the interest rate only adds to it. It’s not the current loan rate, it is the principal that is the genesis of the issue.
no, loans backed by the gov't carry no credit risk. 30yr is under 5% so the rate plus servicing should price from there.

private loans I agree would let the mkt dictate the cost
 
no, loans backed by the gov't carry no credit risk. 30yr is under 5% so the rate plus servicing should price from there.

private loans I agree would let the mkt dictate the cost
Absolutely they do. I think we are talking about two different things. I’m talking about the risk of them not being paid back. No loan is risk free. That is already happening.
 
Absolutely they do. I think we are talking about two different things. I’m talking about the risk of them not being paid back. No loan is risk free. That is already happening.
please show where a us gov't backed loan is not being paid back or has been defaulted on by the US Gov't
 
please show where a us gov't backed loan is not being paid back or has been defaulted on by the US Gov't
No. Defaulted on by the student. This is what I mean that we are talking about different aspects of the same topic. What I am saying is that regardless of the lender they need to be compensated for the risk they take. 7-8% isn’t nearly enough for many of these degrees with little in the way of job prospects. I know I wouldn’t invest in a person who gets a shitty degree without a serious interest rate. It’s essentially a junk bond. The government should charge accordingly as well.

I actually went to a graduation at a major US university this weekend. There were some total bullshit degrees handed out. General Studies, art, etc. if their parents pay for it, fine. But the risk that they turn into car salesmen is too high for me to lend money across multiple decades to have it paid off, if at all. I would need north of 20% plus several provisions. Why? Because I’m not a financial fool like these people who take out these loans.

BTW, to answer your challenge: do you know how the government doesn’t default? It taxes you more to pay for the additional money it prints, which is still technically default since it is printing money to pay off debt it cannot satisfy with the current money in its possession. It’s just a sleight of hand version for the financially ignorant. Happens every year. But nobody seems to care. They will. The financial stability of the worldwide fiat monetary system isn’t nearly as rock solid as most want to believe. When people see their self created financial house of cards come tumbling down upon a governmental financial house of cards that also collapses they will finally understand, or not. It won’t matter either way because the insolvency steamroller gives zero fucks; it’s just math. This is the cliff we are approaching.
 
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no dog in this fight,but,seems to me the idea of the government "lending" for any private endeavor is the driver of the problem. student loans being the one here but home mortgages,bailing out banks and auto manufacturers is not even close to a legitimate function of same and should have never be happening or continued. the exorbitant cost of college is a rather separate issue which should be addressed. the presence of no risk loans to pay for it is retarded beyond comprehension. a mortgage lender has a shot at recouping loss by taking the property in a default. gonna garnish wages of a 20 something working at mickey d who got a degree in gender studies at a cost of 60-80K? good luck.
the role of the fed and gov regulation and socialist vote buying scams is really the big driver of inflation.
 
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no dog in this fight,but,seems to me the idea of the government "lending" for any private endeavor is the driver of the problem. student loans being the one here but home mortgages,bailing out banks and auto manufacturers is not even close to a legitimate function of same and should have never be happening or continued. the exorbitant cost of college is a rather separate issue which should be addressed. the presence of no risk loans to pay for it is retarded beyond comprehension. a mortgage lender has a shot at recouping loss by taking the property in a default. gonna garnish wages of a 20 something working at mickey d who got a degree in gender studies at a cost of 60-80K? good luck.
the role of the fed and gov regulation and socialist vote buying scams is really the big driver of inflation.
I would add to this to say that the government granting funds to any university is also a problem. Because grants come with hooks. Those hooks are never about protecting the Constitution or any kind of liberty. Nope. It’s a clue.
 
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Agreed, take a loan pay it back. student loans are not an exception.

The answer to student loans is to get the interest rates to a realistic level. I know grads that are paying 7% interest (and more) on six figure loans but paying half that on home loans taken a few short years ago. The lenders have a loan that cannot be extinguished by bankruptcy, is insured by the government against default and has little service or origination responsibility. These should be low interest loans not a meal ticket for lenders.

I would like to see an investigation into how student loan lenders were able to get such a sweetheart deal.
 
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Agreed, take a loan pay it back. student loans are not an exception.

The answer to student loans is to get the interest rates to a realistic level. I know grads that are paying 7% interest (and more) on six figure loans but paying half that on home loans taken a few short years ago. The lenders have a loan that cannot be extinguished by bankruptcy, is insured by the government against default and has little service or origination responsibility. These should be low interest loans not a meal ticket for lenders.

I would like to see an investigation into how student loan lenders were able to get such a sweetheart deal.
The answer is not to ring up six figure loans for college. At any interest rate. Even in today's world, there are still plenty of ways to obtain an (increasingly worthless) college degree. As my co-worker says, "my kids have two college funds: J-O-B, and A-R-M-Y."
 
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“What you have right now is a situation where these high rates aren’t generating more braking power on the economy,” said Joseph Lupton, global economist at J.P. Morgan. “That would suggest that they either need to stay high for longer or maybe even higher for longer, meaning rate hikes might come into the conversation.”

They should have come out the gate at 20%.

They’d bring inflation to a screeching halt if the banks would turn off these 15%-25% vehicle and personal loans.
 
They should have come out the gate at 20%.

They’d bring inflation to a screeching halt if the banks would turn off these 15%-25% vehicle and personal loans.
Yep... The FED Reserve should have gone "Paul Volcker" during 2022. Reminds me of a home owner getting a termite report saying there is a small infestation that needs to be eradicated. The mindset of "We will deal with it when it becomes an issue" seems to be the mindset of Americans".
Both the termites and inflation soon have the upper hand.

 
I also expect to be buying gold under $1,900 per ounce in the next 6 months. I’m not going to short it, but that’s where I see it.
I hope you’re correct.

If it dips back below $2K, I think you’ll see a lot of folks buying…incidentally increasing demand and raising prices.

That said, I honestly believe the true price is much higher than the current $2300 or so…and have been buying more every month; only an ounce or two at a time though. Of course all of us individual buyers combined worldwide are pretty low inputs on the global market where the big boys buy it by the ton…not insignificant, but not enough volume to seriously move the market.
 
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I hope you’re correct.

If it dips back below $2K, I think you’ll see a lot of folks buying…incidentally increasing demand and raising prices.

That said, I honestly believe the true price is much higher than the current $2300 or so…and have been buying more every month; only an ounce or two at a time though. Of course all of us individual buyers combined worldwide are pretty low inputs on the global market where the big boys buy it by the ton…not insignificant, but not enough volume to seriously move the market.
Countries are buying gold lately. That should tell everyone what’s up.
 
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Countries are buying gold lately. That should tell everyone what’s up.
History repeating itself. Amazing how the Government cooks the books and makes the USD appear "strong". The very countries that make up the "basket of foreign currencies" are stocking up on gold.
It's been 50 years since the gold in Fort Knox was inventoried.

The Dollar Index Formula​


The formula for calculating the value of the U.S. Dollar Index includes the dollar’s relative value compared to a basket of foreign currencies. Initially, it included the Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, Swiss franc, West German mark, French franc, Italian lira, Dutch guilder, and Belgian franc.
Following the creation of the euro in 1999, the number of currencies was reduced and the formula for the dollar index was adjusted. Today, the basket includes just six currencies: the euro (EUR), Japanese yen (JPY), British pound (GBP), Canadian dollar (CAD), Swedish krona (SEK) and Swiss franc (CHF).
ICE currently uses the following formula to calculate the value of the USDX:
 
Wholesale prices jumped more than expected in April, putting up another potential roadblock to interest rate cuts anytime soon.

The producer price index, a measure of what producers receive for the goods they produce, increased 0.5% for the month, higher than the 0.3% Dow Jones estimate, the Labor Department’s Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Tuesday. However, the March reading was revised from an initially reported 0.2% gain to a decline of 0.1%.
 
Is Jerome fueling the Revolution or working for the Chinese ?

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell reiterated Tuesday that inflation is falling more slowly than expected and will keep the central bank on hold for an extended period.
Speaking to the annual general meeting of the Foreign Bankers’ Association in Amsterdam, the central bank leader noted that the rapid disinflation that happened in 2023 has slowed considerably this year and caused a rethink of where policy is headed.
“We did not expect this to be a smooth road. But these [inflation readings] were higher than I think anybody expected,” Powell said. “What that has told us is that we’ll need to be patient and let restrictive policy do its work.”
While he expects inflation to come down through the year, he noted that hasn’t happened so far.
“I do think it’s really a question of keeping policy at the current rate for longer than had been thought,” he said.
However, Powell also repeated that he does not expect the Fed to be raising rates.
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