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Recession - 2022 / 2023 / 2024

“The Fourteenth Amendment requires the President to meet obligations to the holders of federal debt,” the complaint states. “To do so, he must either borrow or find the necessary funds to do so from cancelling, suspending, or refusing to carry out spending already approved by Congress.”
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Sounding like another situation that is being "Politicized".....


WASHINGTON, May 8 (Reuters) - Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is reaching out to U.S. business and financial leaders to explain the "catastrophic" impact a U.S. default on its debt would have on the U.S. and global economies, two sources familiar with the matter said on Monday.
The Treasury secretary is having one-on-one conversations with individual CEOs to warn them about the "dangerous consequences of the current brinkmanship," one of the sources said.

 
May 8 (Reuters) - LinkedIn, the social media network owned by Microsoft Corp (MSFT.O) that focuses on business professionals, said on Monday it would cut 716 jobs as demand wavers, while also shutting down its China-focused job application.
LinkedIn, which has 20,000 employees, has grown revenue each quarter during the last year, but it joins other major technology companies including its parent in laying off workers amid a weakening global economic outlook.


 
BEIJING, May 9 (Reuters) - China's imports contracted sharply in April, while exports rose at a slower pace, reinforcing signs of feeble domestic demand despite the lifting of COVID curbs and heaping pressure on an economy already struggling in the face of cooling global growth.
China's economy grew faster than expected in the first quarter thanks to robust services consumption, but factory output has lagged and the latest trade numbers point to a long road to regaining the pre-pandemic momentum at home.


 
May 8 (Reuters) - LinkedIn, the social media network owned by Microsoft Corp (MSFT.O) that focuses on business professionals, said on Monday it would cut 716 jobs as demand wavers, while also shutting down its China-focused job application.
LinkedIn, which has 20,000 employees, has grown revenue each quarter during the last year, but it joins other major technology companies including its parent in laying off workers amid a weakening global economic outlook.


LinkedIn is a Leftist cesspool - cannot believe that US CEOs have not demanded that HR/Recruiting abandon LinkedIn. I guess most US major corporation CEOs are Leftists too.............
 
Sounding like another situation that is being "Politicized".....


WASHINGTON, May 8 (Reuters) - Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is reaching out to U.S. business and financial leaders to explain the "catastrophic" impact a U.S. default on its debt would have on the U.S. and global economies, two sources familiar with the matter said on Monday.
The Treasury secretary is having one-on-one conversations with individual CEOs to warn them about the "dangerous consequences of the current brinkmanship," one of the sources said.

The simple idea of reduce government spending is too easy and therefore they will not reduce spending.
 
May 9 (Reuters) - U.S. companies are feeling the heat of decades-high interest rates and sticky inflation, with several filing for bankruptcy protection as the era of easy money draws to a close.
The tally of U.S. companies that have gone bankrupt so far in 2023 is higher than the first four months of any year since 2010, data from S&P Global Market Intelligence showed.
There were 54 corporate bankruptcy petitions in April, down from 70 in March, S&P Global said. Still, the year-to-date count more than doubled to 236 from a year ago
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In its report, Moody’s assigns a 10% probability to a breach of the debt ceiling, up from 5% previously.
“What once seemed unimaginable now seems a real threat,” Moody’s Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi wrote in the report.



Biden says GOP debt ceiling plan is 'devastating'
U.S. President Joe Biden piled pressure on Republican lawmakers on Wednesday to move quickly to raise the country's $31.4 trillion debt ceiling or risk throwing the U.S. economy into a recession that would kill thousands of jobs. Tamara Lindstrom
 
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But prices probably won’t drop markedly until there are simply more homes available.

That is not true. The old theories of "Supply and Demand" are not working these days. "More homes" will be built with inflated material and labor cost. There was too much free government money for way too long. We are now "Paying the Piper" even though we did not get the money.
 
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I call a statement like this (Below) "Guilt by Omission"... It's not what they are telling you, it's what they are not telling you. Working middle class is existing on credit cards hoping things will get better, financially.

Total consumer debt hit a fresh new high in the first quarter of 2023, pushing past $17 trillion even amid a sharp pullback in home borrowing.
The total for borrowing across all categories hit $17.05 trillion, an increase of nearly $150 billion, or 0.9% during the January-to-March period, the New York Federal Reserve reported Monday. That took total indebtedness up about $2.9 trillion from the pre-Covid period ended in 2019.


 
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May 17 (Reuters) - Many U.S. regional lenders may have to consider selling off commercial real estate (CRE) loans at a steep discount after breaching key regulatory thresholds for exposure to the troubled sector, according to new data and market sources.
Regional banks, the largest lenders to the beleaguered U.S. CRE and construction markets, have reduced their exposure to the sector by tightening standards and making fewer loans, especially in the weeks after the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank [RIC:RIC:SIVBV.UL], Signature Bank (SBNY.PK) and First Republic Bank (FRCB.PK).

 
Zombie firms are companies with earnings that are sufficient to allow it to continue operating and pay the interest on its debt, but not to pay off the debt, meaning any cash generated is immediately spent on debt. The company is therefore “neither dead nor alive.”

The global debt pile grew by $8.3 trillion in the first quarter to a near-record high of $305 trillion as the global economy faced a “crisis of adaptation” to rapid monetary policy tightening by central banks, according to a closely-watched report from the Institute of International Finance.
The finance industry body said the combination of such high debt levels and rising interest rates has driven up the cost of servicing that debt, triggering concerns about leverage in the financial system.
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LOL.... unexpectedly = The blind leading the blind.
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Feb 16 (Reuters) - Manufacturing activity in the Mid-Atlantic region dropped off sharply and unexpectedly in February, and goods producers reported input cost increases accelerated for the first time in 10 months while their own price increases slowed dramatically, signaling margin pressures were building.

 
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Zombie firm
May 18 (Reuters) - TuSimple Holdings Inc (TSP.O) said on Thursday it will cut 30% of its workforce in the United States under a restructuring as the autonomous driving technology company looks to preserve its balance sheet amid a funding crunch in the sector.
 
So, here we are.. Too much free Government money and a politicized FED Reserve. Unfortunately the Americans who got very little free money are bearing the brunt of inflation. Financially "treading water" while Jerome Powell continues to do too little, too late.

 
Central banks have been credited with averting a global depression twice over the past 15 years: Once after the 2008 financial crisis, and again at the height of the coronavirus pandemic.


But the tactics they deployed to restore confidence and keep money flowing from banks to the economy amounted to a high-stakes experiment — one that may be impossible to unwind without destabilizing the financial system.


Central banks purchased tens of trillions of dollars worth of government bonds and other assets in a bid to bring down longer-term borrowing costs and stimulate their economies. This measure, known as “quantitative easing,” or QE, created a flood of cheap cash and gave policymakers newfound sway over markets. Investors called it the era of “easy money.”

 
No soft landing.
 
JPMorgan Chase
cut about 500 positions this week, mostly among technology and operations groups, according to people with knowledge of the move.
The cuts were spread across the New York-based firm’s main divisions of retail and commercial banking, asset and wealth management and its corporate and investment bank, said the people, who declined to be identified speaking about personnel matters.

 
JPMorgan Chase
cut about 500 positions this week, mostly among technology and operations groups, according to people with knowledge of the move.
The cuts were spread across the New York-based firm’s main divisions of retail and commercial banking, asset and wealth management and its corporate and investment bank, said the people, who declined to be identified speaking about personnel matters.

I just read an article that said the tech industry layoffs were trying to go to Wall Street. Whelp…
 
I just read an article that said the tech industry layoffs were trying to go to Wall Street. Whelp…
I have witnessed "movement" as the past 4 recessions took hold. Memorable one, during the '70's, was to watch the displaced Detroit Auto Workers come to Louisiana to work in the oil patch or on an off shore rig, a refinery or a shrimp boat... Deja Vu
 
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From this article:
U.S. consumer spending increased more than expected in April,
Of course it did. Consumers are trying to keep their head above water. The FED is attempting to paint a lovely picture. The consumer knows better.

 
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According to a new report from the National Association of Realtors and Realtor.com published Wednesday, U.S. households earning the median wage are seeing a pool of homes they can afford.
Households earning $75,000 or less per year in annual income—about 51% of households—could afford a home for up to $256,000. They could buy only 262,580 or 23% of the 1.1 million home listings that existed in April 2023.
That share has shrunk significantly over the past five years: In April 2018, households earning $75,000 a year — who could afford a $281,480 home — had 810,000 listings in their price range, less than 50%.
“There are more homes available for sale now that middle-income buyers can afford than in 2018,” the report said.


 
To at least one market veteran, the stock market’s resurgence after a string of bank failures and rapid interest rate hikes means only one thing: Watch out.
The current period reminds Bob Michele, chief investment officer for JPMorgan Chase’s massive asset management arm, of a deceptive lull during the 2008 financial crisis, he said in an interview at the bank’s New York headquarters.
For Michele, who began his career four decades ago, the signs are clear: The next few months are merely a calm before the storm. Michele oversees more than $700 billion in assets for JPMorgan and is also global head of fixed income for the bank’s asset management arm.

 
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The FED is simply "prolonging" the agony..... No rate change is not going to bring inflation down. It's causing Americans to charge more on the credit cards and pay more for essentials while wages are not going up. The FED / Jerome is hoping the bankers and big business will get him out of this mess. Big business and banks will profit from his foot dragging while American's suffer.
Plot your course carefully..... No one is coming.

 
Article is "very carefully" worded.

Goldman Sachs became the latest Wall Street bank to downgrade its growth forecast for China, as the world’s second-largest economy stutters and loses momentum after its coronavirus reopening.


 
Article from 16 August 2021, 11.12am........ Almost 2 years later we are seeing it unfold.

The set of conspiracy theories around the Great Reset are nebulous and hard to pin down, but piecing them together gives us something like this: the Great Reset is the global elite’s plan to instate a communist world order by abolishing private property while using COVID-19 to solve overpopulation and enslaving what remains of humanity with vaccines.

 
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