a lot of what you guys are talking about really has no bearing on the other things being mentioned here. what no one has mentioned is when the economy downturns, there will be much less disposable income for most people, and many of the first things to get sold are the panic buy type ARs, Glocks, Mossbergs to get some liquidity. i think there is going to be a flood of used guns onto the market that are initially priced high and no one wants. The market will correct for this and prices will fall to meet demand.
The last time anything like this happened was in 08 and the supply/demand curve was shifted so radically in the opposite direction of what it should have been for a hard recession because of the Obama regime and the ban threats. People were buying and demand went sky high regardless if they could actually afford it.
other items:
rare/collectible guns, whether old or new limited runs, will continue to increase in price because of steady demand and inflation.
demand overall for guns will lessen as disposable income drops dramatically with the increase in energy prices and food prices, as wages stagnate. unfortunately, i think people are already starting to prepare for a recession and we'll see what the FED policies do to that.