NWS: "Unsurvivable Storm Surge"

[Bolo]

Looks like Laura is steaming toward Beaumont TX as a Cat 4. Looking at the potential storm surge covering all of coastal Louisiana and going up to 30 miles inland.
If you're in the AO, GTFO now. This is approaching Katrina-size, don't be a hero.
Best of luck and my prayers are with you and yours.
Surge Map
Current Advisory

 

[Jigstick]

If it keeps its strength or strengthens when it hits the coast is going to be horrific down there

 

[Blue Sky Country]

Category 4 is extremely grave. Basically high end EF-2/low end EF-3 tornado winds, sustained for 8+ hours... That is nothing to trifle with.

Prayers to all in the affected areas and TAKE ALL APPROPRIATE MEASURES to protect yourselves now.

 

[hafejd30]

2020 can get fucked anytime now...

God be with those dealing with riots, Covid and Laura

 

[Expert684]

Local news just said it will most likely be a cat 5 right before land fall. They expect total devastation at the LA/TX boarder.

 

[hlee]

And I just read that it’s expected to weaken to a 3 just before landfall... I’m sure it’s going to be gnarly anywhere in the path, but weather media has to generate clicks just like fishing lure salesmen...

 

[Maggot]

Local news just said it will most likely be a cat 5 right before land fall. They expect total devastation at the LA/TX boarder.

And building material prices take another leap.

 

[BytorJr]

2020 can get fucked anytime now...

God be with those dealing with riots, Covid and Laura

Maybe it'll end on a high note and team of jb/kh will be relegated to the history books along with the communist/marxist party (f.n.a. Democrat).

 

[clcustom1911]

Its gonna be rough no matter how you cut the mustard. I dont wish ill upon anyone there. Get to safety.

 

[THEIS]

Hi,

Too late for anyone to be getting anywhere right now.
Rescue crews are going into hunker down phases right now.
It is going to be bad, real bad for those in SW La and Texas border of La. Local news calling for storm surge to push water 40+ miles inland.

Sincerely,
Theis

 

[308pirate]

Wake me the fuck up when it happens.

All news, including the weathermen, are full of shit and just pumping for ratings.

If it bleeds it leads.

 

[308Gunner]

All of those that are in the path of that storm stay safe

 

[clcustom1911]

Hi,

Too late for anyone to be getting anywhere right now.
Rescue crews are going into hunker down phases right now.
It is going to be bad, real bad for those in SW La and Texas border of La. Local news calling for storm surge to push water 40+ miles inland.

Sincerely,
Theis

I was just about to PM you. Stay safe, man.

 

[XP1K]

Three years to the day since harvey. That was wild. Never seen it rain that hard in my life.

 

[dspjaggar]

you are down in Houston area yourself aren't you clcustom1911? stay safe yall

 

[LeftyJason]

you are down in Houston area yourself aren't you clcustom1911? stay safe yall

Pretty sure @clcustom1911 is in San Antonio area.

Everybody down there make sure your chainsaws are ready. You might have to cut yourself out of your neighborhood.

 

[footsteps]

My daughters boyfriend, Army Staff Sgt gas been deployed to south Texas for the last two weeks reading for 2 years in Germany....Last two days doing high water S/R Training getting sharp, geared up...they are in the underground bunkers on base... Their search and rescue helicopters already to go 40' storm surge, 30 miles inland, God knows how wide...Massive water, nothing to hold on too.And nothing much we can do.... Brother inlaw runs Tulane university's food service....getting ready to feed 8 thousand meals 3x's a day. pray

 

[Waorani]

Not to diminish the threat and I don't wish it on anyone in the path, but if it stays on course, much of that area in LA east of the Sabine is minimally inhabited coastal marsh/swamp/lowland inland for 20 miles. Some oil/gas infrastructure and Lake Charles is going to get smacked, but there are worse places for it to hit. Slight shift to the west and it's Port Arthur/Nederland/Beaumont.

 

[jrhtx]

There are more people there than you think. Probably 1000-2000 if you count Johnson Bayou, Cameron, Holley Beach, Hackberry, Oak Grove, Creole, and probably many camp type houses that people live in that aren't on the map.

That whole area was wiped out in RIta in 2005. All that was left of Holley Beach was some poles sticking up out of the sand. You could drive by and not even realize there were houses there. Houses in Johnson Bayou were washed to the back marsh. Some parts were found, some houses were almost intact but hundreds of yards or more from its original foundation. It was close to 6 months before power was restored to the area. The whole infrastructure was gone.

Since Rita, some of the largest LNG export facilities sit at Sabine Pass and Johnson Bayou. Some of the facilities are elevated, some are diked, but probably not to the extent of this projected storm surge. I installed gas turbines at our facility at +25ft and we thought that was going to be well above possible surge. Looks like we needed to add another 10+ft but the business guys wouldn't have approved.

Friends have spent the last several days hauling belongings, farm equipment and livestock out of Johnson Bayou. There won't anything to go back to, again.

Not to diminish the threat and I don't wish it on anyone in the path, but if it stays on course, much of that area in LA east of the Sabine is minimally inhabited coastal marsh/swamp/lowland inland for 20 miles. Some oil/gas infrastructure and Lake Charles is going to get smacked, but there are worse places for it to hit. Slight shift to the west and it's Port Arthur/Nederland/Beaumont.

 

[LeftyJason]

Don forget about all of trees as well. Hurricanes love to play pickup sticks with pine trees and topple oaks. Pines also like to snap 2/3rds of the way up and dangle.

Did 77 hours total of volunteer chainsaw work after Rita over a couple months of weekends. I was a yellow shirt. Crews of 10- 15 with no heavy equipment.

Most of our work was around Orange, Vidor and other areas. I was born in orange and my dad was a bishop there in the mid 80's. Lots of people knew me but I didn't know them.

 

[ColbyLang]

Cat 4 at landfall. I’m 100 miles East of it. Winds in the 40’s, gusts higher. We’ve gotten probably 2-3” of rain so far.

 

[HeavyAssault]

Since we are past the 1/2 way mark of 2020 it's all downhill from here right???? JUST hope it's not an avalanche....

 

[lightman]

Prayers offered for any of you guys that are in the path of this storm. We're forecast to have 4 to 8 inches of rain and high winds. I've worked most of the major storms over the last 35 years and the power of those storms is awesome.