CDC and FDA lied and misled.......... Well, surprise, suprise, surpise!

I'm sorry, but I don't get the testing thing. Who cares if you have a test or not? If you don't have a test, then just take the position that it IS the corona virus. There isn't a cure or vaccine either way, so make the assumption that it is and treat it as a positive. Self-quarantine and don't get near anyone else. If they have to be hospitalized, then isolate them. Only admit the truly sick so you don't waste the limited hospital resources.

This whole 'we could have saved lives if we had enough tests' is bullshit. How does the test save anything?
 
"Tracking the progress of the disease is incredibly important. That's what allows locking down a handful of towns vs. bringing the entire country to a halt."


And gets people back out to work, shop, pray, safely, when they know they are healthy and can interact with other healthy people.
 
I am confused over the whole testing issue and logic

The test is only 60% accurate to start with. How much money are you betting on a horse with a 60% chance to win?

Then they say only people with symptoms should be tested
but then they say
people without symptoms can be contagious

If you have symptoms, be quarantined and watched
If you have life threatening symptoms, be admitted to medical care

If you have no symptoms, then you should be tested multiple times to ensure all are negative per the 60% accuracy (that means 4 negative tests to 100% certainty)

I don't see an answer that make any sense other than EVERYONE stay the fuck away from me
That makes sense.
 
and this is me going to the grocery store (with an N95 mask on under the bucket)

My Lysol in the ON position

1585334846969.png
 
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Who?

Im more worried about the folks who actually work for a living. And right now, those in the middle of this.

I promise you, working in the ED sucks right now. Many of my friends still do and they are telling some stories.
Running out of safety gear, short staffed due to illness.

Here is to those doing this day in and day out. That part has to suck.
Whiskey is on me when this is over and we can hang out again.
 
So we're locked down and have been for awhile, so when is this lockdown long enough knowing others haven't even started??
Sometimes it's like stupid does as stupid is, you'll never know how long others have been locked down and you can "what if" your life away.
 
I am confused over the whole testing issue and logic

The test is only 60% accurate to start with. How much money are you betting on a horse with a 60% chance to win?

Then they say only people with symptoms should be tested
but then they say
people without symptoms can be contagious

If you have symptoms, be quarantined and watched
If you have life threatening symptoms, be admitted to medical care

If you have no symptoms, then you should be tested multiple times to ensure all are negative per the 60% accuracy (that means 4 negative tests to 100% certainty)

I don't see an answer that make any sense other than EVERYONE stay the fuck away from me
That makes sense.

I would bet on horse with a 60% chance.

There are limited tests. They are screening and only testing people with severe matching symptoms.

I went to the hospital a few weeks ago with a nagging cough and audible wheezing as my only symptoms. They asked some questions, ruled out Corona and didnt test me. Said it was bronchitis from a cold I had a month ago and they gave me a Zpack of antibiotics and kicked me out.
 
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Re: a 60% chance, it's not enough to know the probability, you also need to factor in the costs. If the cost of your horse losing is, you and your family die, the risk is obviously not the same as losing $20. So to the extent that "Tracking the progress of the disease is incredibly important," you want a decent test, not something that's barely better than flipping a coin.

That said, from all accounts it seems work on the tests is ongoing, and they are now more reliable and the turn time to get a result is becoming shorter, both of which should be helpful. Interested if anyone has more concrete info on this.
 
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Re: a 60% chance, it's not enough to know the probability, you also need to factor in the costs. If the cost of your horse losing is, you and your family die, the risk is obviously not the same as losing $20. So to the extent that "Tracking the progress of the disease is incredibly important," you want a decent test, not something that's barely better than flipping a coin.

That said, from all accounts it seems work on the tests is ongoing, and they are now more reliable and the turn time to get a result is becoming shorter, both of which should be helpful. Interested if anyone has more concrete info on this.

Whoah I was just talking about betting on a horse. 60% is better than 0
 
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I'm sorry, but I don't get the testing thing. Who cares if you have a test or not? If you don't have a test, then just take the position that it IS the corona virus. There isn't a cure or vaccine either way, so make the assumption that it is and treat it as a positive. Self-quarantine and don't get near anyone else. If they have to be hospitalized, then isolate them. Only admit the truly sick so you don't waste the limited hospital resources.

This whole 'we could have saved lives if we had enough tests' is bullshit. How does the test save anything?

If you don't know if they had it or not, all your data on treatment and recovery becomes much more of a guess.
 
Who?

Im more worried about the folks who actually work for a living. And right now, those in the middle of this.

I promise you, working in the ED sucks right now. Many of my friends still do and they are telling some stories.
Running out of safety gear, short staffed due to illness.

Here is to those doing this day in and day out. That part has to suck.
Whiskey is on me when this is over and we can hang out again.
It's pretty un nerving for sure.
 
Nothing but lies, dammed lies, and statistics used by liars to support their lies.

President Trump acted to protect us far sooner, by stopping the flood of Chinese carriers than any other president would have.

Where are you getting your information? The CoV outbreak was a clear and present danger at the end of December. The organization of this response is a clusterfuck. For months, the president has downplayed the pandemic, overstated the impact of his policies and given people false hope about potential treatments, blamed everybody else and tried to rewrite the history of his response. He tweeted this less than a month ago:

“The Coronavirus is very much under control in the USA. We are in contact with everyone and all relevant countries. CDC & World Health have been working hard and very smart. Stock Market starting to look very good to me!”
 
If you don't know if they had it or not, all your data on treatment and recovery becomes much more of a guess.
I agree, but lack of data does not kill people. Again, if you don't have a test to confirm your diagnosis, treat it as a positive. The media is pushing the narrative that the lack of tests is killing people.
 
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Where are you getting your information? The CoV outbreak was a clear and present danger at the end of December. The organization of this response is a clusterfuck. For months, the president has downplayed the pandemic, overstated the impact of his policies and given people false hope about potential treatments, blamed everybody else and tried to rewrite the history of his response. He tweeted this less than a month ago:

“The Coronavirus is very much under control in the USA. We are in contact with everyone and all relevant countries. CDC & World Health have been working hard and very smart. Stock Market starting to look very good to me!”

really?
The WHO tweeted on January 14, 2020 that there was no evidence of human to human transmission, in a way lending credence to the false claims of the chinese.

 
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Where are you getting your information? The CoV outbreak was a clear and present danger at the end of December. The organization of this response is a clusterfuck. For months, the president has downplayed the pandemic, overstated the impact of his policies and given people false hope about potential treatments, blamed everybody else and tried to rewrite the history of his response. He tweeted this less than a month ago:

“The Coronavirus is very much under control in the USA. We are in contact with everyone and all relevant countries. CDC & World Health have been working hard and very smart. Stock Market starting to look very good to me!”
What false hope about potential treatments are you referring to?
 
I wonder how these fuckstickorangemanbad would be if Trump had came to the podium and said. "Kiss your ass goodbye. This virus is going to kill 10% of the population and there ain't shit you can do. It's fucking yuuuge!"
But hey let's bash the president because he's putting out a message of hope in the middle of a shit storm.
Fuck you bastards. Tell me which world leader has impressed you during this? I will gladly buy your one way ticket. So you can live in bliss elsewhere.
 
Zero interest in political arguments, at this point it’s a waste of time. Just be advised this is not a political issue it’s a biomedical issue and we have a short window of time to mitigate the damage.
My question was in your wheelhouse. What false hope do you refer to?
(And by the way, you made some serious political arguments in that post and now say you have no interest).
 
On the basis of a case definition requiring a diagnosis of pneumonia, the currently reported case fatality rate is approximately 2%.4 In another article in the Journal, Guan et al.5 report mortality of 1.4% among 1099 patients with laboratory-confirmed Covid-19; these patients had a wide spectrum of disease severity. If one assumes that the number of asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic cases is several times as high as the number of reported cases, the case fatality rate may be considerably less than 1%. This suggests that the overall clinical consequences of Covid-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza (which has a case fatality rate of approximately 0.1%) or a pandemic influenza (similar to those in 1957 and 1968) rather than a disease similar to SARS or MERS, which have had case fatality rates of 9 to 10% and 36%, respectively.2

 
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  1. Coronovirus is extremely contagious.
  2. There is no immunity to it. If you pick up the virus, you have it. Period.
  3. There are no therapeutic drugs for it (to treat people who have it).
  4. There are no vaccines for it (to prevent people from getting it).
  5. It is TEN TIMES as lethal as the "flu."
  6. It is not a flu or the flu. It is a different virus.


    The depraved indifference toward human life in this thread, combined with the utter and total stupidity, is a deadly combination.
 
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My question was in your wheelhouse. What false hope do you refer to?
(And by the way, you made some serious political arguments in that post and now say you have no interest).
Correct, no interest and I made no political arguments, unless you think that criticizing a politician is a political argument. Is that no longer allowed or too upsetting? Scientists are certainly not infallible, and the best ones are the ones are the ones that are most self-critical and aware of what they don’t know as well as what they do know. Things are complex. It takes a long time to produce a safe vaccine. Drugs need to be tested, I’m privileged to work with colleagues working at the cutting edge of that. https://www.sciencemag.org/news/202...mp-s-embrace-risky-malaria-drugs-coronavirus#
 
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I agree, but lack of data does not kill people. Again, if you don't have a test to confirm your diagnosis, treat it as a positive. The media is pushing the narrative that the lack of tests is killing people.

Data drives treatment, data drives the search for cures, data drives vehicle safety, data drives science. Data kills and saves people every single day.
 
232k of 1.1m samples tested in a lab tested positive for the flu so far this season. 23k died from it.
85k of 500k samples tested in a lab tested positive for the covid 19 virus so far. 1.2k died from it.
 
Correct, no interest and I made no political arguments, unless you think that criticizing a politician is a political argument. Is that no longer allowed or too upsetting? Scientists are certainly not infallible, and the best ones are the ones are the ones that are most self-critical and aware of what they don’t know as well as what they do know. Things are complex. It takes a long time to produce a safe vaccine. Drugs need to be tested, I’m privileged to work with colleagues working at the cutting edge of that. https://www.sciencemag.org/news/202...mp-s-embrace-risky-malaria-drugs-coronavirus#
Of course it's allowed, and no one's upset (unless you are), but criticizing a politician is pretty much THE definition of a political argument, so your comment makes no sense. You started one, then left.

"False" hope means placing hope in something that is false. You are too smart not to know that choice of words doesn't fit. You also know we treat patients with drugs off-label every day. Practically every doctor I've seen interviewed about this on TV has been asked, "If you test positive, would you take this?" I've yet to see one say, "No." Even Fauci said he'd take it, with the clarification that he'd try to do it by searching for a study that he could be included in...(but he didn't volunteer to be in the Control group, wonder why?). Are they giving everyone "false hope" too? They're the ones in the trenches and they're prescribing it, and most think it's making a difference.

If you want to say "premature" hope, I might be inclined to agree, but the studies I'm seeing are becoming MORE encouraging every day, not less. Calling it "False hope" is a false narrative. It might not work, but you don't know that, and neither do I. The study linked below was released today. It is by all means not conclusive, as it is not controlled either. But is it "false hope" too? The majority of these studies are showing better outcomes of patients treated with the combination than those that aren't. Is the Ivory Tower going to completely ignore results from the field because they weren't done double-blind, etc.? Because by the time all those are done, we won't need them anymore.

(This study is so new, I could only find it reported here. I don't endorse the headline, but the study results are reported accurately).

 
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really?
The WHO tweeted on January 14, 2020 that there was no evidence of human to human transmission, in a way lending credence to the false claims of the chinese.


2 weeks later, trump bans traffic from chy-na.
4 days after that, some authority in NYC goes on TV and tells everyone to ignore the virus and take the subway like nothing is wrong.
and now they wonder why they have an outbreak? fucking idiot democrats and their political correctness and need to defy trump.

and also

uyqdOlx.jpg
 
Not just any authority in NYC...

Dr. Raul Perea-Henze, the city’s deputy mayor for health and human services, said on January 24. “We urge all New Yorkers to continue to pursue their everyday activities and routines, but to remain aware of the facts about coronavirus. Those with a travel history should see a doctor at the first sign of any flu-like symptoms.”

also:
On January 26, New York City’s health commissioner, Dr. Oxiris Barbot, warned, “It’s inevitable that we will have someone who is positive with coronavirus.” She also said, “We are encouraging New Yorkers to go about their everyday lives and suggest practicing everyday precautions that we do through the flu season.” She added that those “who had recently traveled from Wuhan were not being urged to self-quarantine or avoid large public gatherings.”

(emphasis added)
 
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Of course it's allowed, and no one's upset (unless you are), but criticizing a politician is pretty much THE definition of a political argument, so your comment makes no sense. You started one, then left.

"False" hope means placing hope in something that is false. You are too smart not to know that choice of words doesn't fit. You also know we treat patients with drugs off-label every day. Practically every doctor I've seen interviewed about this on TV has been asked, "If you test positive, would you take this?" I've yet to see one say, "No." Even Fauci said he'd take it, with the clarification that he'd try to do it by searching for a study that he could be included in...but he didn't say he wanted to be in the Control group. Are they giving everyone "false hope" too? They're the ones in the trenches and they're prescribing it, and most think it's making a difference.

If you want to say "premature" hope, I might be inclined to agree, but the studies I'm seeing are becoming MORE positive every day, not less. "False hope" is a false narrative. It might not work, but you don't know that, and neither do I.

Fair point, false hope is a poor choice of words, you take my point, premature is a better word. As far as criticizing politicians, both msn and fox are drumming it into people’s heads that’s the other side is uniformly evil and stupid. Fuck em all, its a good time to read Shakespeare, keep human folly in perspective. He wrote during plague years as well.
 
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I'm sorry, but I don't get the testing thing. Who cares if you have a test or not? If you don't have a test, then just take the position that it IS the corona virus. There isn't a cure or vaccine either way, so make the assumption that it is and treat it as a positive. Self-quarantine and don't get near anyone else. If they have to be hospitalized, then isolate them. Only admit the truly sick so you don't waste the limited hospital resources.

This whole 'we could have saved lives if we had enough tests' is bullshit. How does the test save anything?
I think the only reason for the wide spread testing is to determine where we are on the curve. Use that data to dictate the necessary course of action to limit the spread.
 
Zero interest in political arguments, at this point it’s a waste of time. Just be advised this is not a political issue it’s a biomedical issue and we have a short window of time to mitigate the damage.
So says the dimwit who made political arguments