Wrong number?

sshow bob

Strutting Martinet
Minuteman
Oct 28, 2018
58
43
Maine, USA
Why are we talking about mortality as a function of reported deaths over reported infections? A look at deaths over recoveries is much more startling. Can someone explain why that ratio isn't what we ought to be worried about?
 
We have an idea of the percentage who will recover. The reason there are, so few people who have recovered is, because unlike some people think almost all these infections are new cases, and they haven't had time to get well yet. This virus didn't get here that long ago it wasn't even common in china before January.
 
Right. But that's a different number from the reported outcome ratio. I understand how the first number is derived, but it doesn't seem as useful as the outcome ratio. Given the length of illness issue we don't know what either number is, I understand.
 
They are not testing to see who is not infected, which is probably a VERY LARGE number.

They are only testing to see who is infected, if they want to - or can - based on the number of test kits available.
 
Cause I'm smart enough to look at the bottom line: just checked 31,700 deaths.

2018-2019 34,200 deaths from influenza (estimated at this time)
2017-2019 61,099 deaths from influenza
2016-2017 38,230 deaths from influenza

CDC