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TIL everyone needs a vehicle to travel for a once-in-a-blue-moon hunting trip across 1,500 miles. Also, charging times are going to change significantly as technology advances. Also, I recommend flying :)
Well I make multiple trips like that every year hunting and competing. I hear a lot about "technology advances" - there will not be a US surge to EV until AFTER that charging technology is available on a "no kidding" basis. The "gladly pay you tomorrow for my burger today" promise of EVs is turning off a lot of potential customers.
 
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Well I make multiple trips like that every year hunting and competing. I hear a lot about "technology advances" - there will not be a US surge to EV until AFTER that charging technology is available on a "no kidding" basis. The "gladly pay you tomorrow for my burger today" promise of EVs is turning off a lot of potential customers.
There is already demand that exceeds production in America. And it isn't going to stop anytime soon.
 
I did not see that in the article - I saw not enough demand to justify EV production. The US is not Europe, Japan, South Korea, etc. Just look at a map and do simple math and see that MANY US citizens will not be well served by EV - I have a hunting trip coming up in Wyoming, we will drive non-stop (multiple drivers) from Georgia to Wyoming - EVs are not doing that trip for a long time. If I lived in Europe or Japan then maybe it will work.
It's not just EV's. It's health, religion, food, transportation, education, etc. The Deep State is forcing square pegs in round holes. Just look around at your family, job, Doctor, grocery store.....
 

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“Just 29% of US buyers plan to go electric with their next car.”

Aka not enough EV production to meet demand.
Appears the automotive world is winding down.
 
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$TSLA -2.5% to $658 pre-mkt as tech stocks tumbled (SPX -1.2% NDX -1.7%) after SNAP pre-announced that 2Q Revs/EBITDA will be below April 21 guidance due to deteriorating macro conditions. $GOOGL (-4%) will present at same JPM tech conf tomorrow (8am ET). 10yrTY-4.8bp to 2.81%.
 
Perhaps they are not directly saying their product is missing due to supply chains in of itself but that supply chain disruptions are impacting their ability to grow in new markets where consumers cannot access their product due to low/limited supply of devices.

Additionally, could also refer to less ad revenue if companies cannot get their product to inventory.
 
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Probably one of the most stable commodities is copper (below). Looking far ahead, it appears that there will be a consistent demand for copper.

1653494253111.png
 
Perhaps they are not directly saying their product is missing due to supply chains in of itself but that supply chain disruptions are impacting their ability to grow in new markets where consumers cannot access their product due to low/limited supply of devices.

Additionally, could also refer to less ad revenue if companies cannot get their product to inventory.

Perhaps they are indeed saying that. It'd be complete horseshit if that's what they are indeed claiming.
 
Most likely cash balances built up over the last two years are being extinguished due to environmental factors. (Inflation, market down turn, loss of job, etc)

I don’t believe the FED as reported why.
In order to solve a problem, the problem must first be identified.
Being the FED is a major part of the problem... It is doubtful they will implicate themselves.
Search else where for answers to your questions... Start locally and branch out from there. Talk to the man on the street. As you tour around your AO, do a head count of how many people are actually working a job. Then count the number of people who appear to just be hanging out.
Stop the flow of free money (food, education, day care, healthcare, transportation, etc)... Let the slackers start to miss a few meals and you will see more people working a real job.
Tough love.
JMHO
 
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Probably one of the most stable commodities is copper (below). Looking far ahead, it appears that there will be a consistent demand for copper.

View attachment 7877277

Other than the dip in early 2007, this looks somewhat like copper prices from mid-2006 to mid-2008. So I would be rather hesitant to make any predictions.
 
Other than the dip in early 2007, this looks somewhat like copper prices from mid-2006 to mid-2008. So I would be rather hesitant to make any predictions.
I agree, some what.. For now, I'm just watching the miners... A lot of time, resources and money tied up until the commodity is sold at the market. If they hold their cost inline, a big stock of physical copper in a year or two could be worth a lot more. Another IDK, we will see.
Maybe I'm just looking for that light at the end of the tunnel... LOL
 
$TSLA catalysts 5/25
1/ Shanghai full reopen June
2/ Stock split announce June
3/ TWTR deal closes Aug
4/ TSLA AGM / AI Day 2 Aug
5/ S&P upgrades debt Aug
6/ New gigas (UK, East US) 4Q
7/ FSD beta release 4Q
8/ Cytruck launch FY’23
9/ M-$25K/Robotaxi FY’24
$1,500 PT 6-12 mo

new $TWTR 13D, eliminating the remaining $6.25B margin loan, and increasing his equity commitment by the same $6.25B. This increases odds the deal gets done (TWTR +6% AH), and reduces TSLA overhang risk since declining TSLA doesn’t require Elon to sell more $TSLA.
 
(C) Citigroup
(Nvda) Nvidia

Both look interesting to me on sell offs

(Snow) Snowflake -( More risk but more reward as well )

Kinda hard to know where this one will land. It’s currently dipped below the ipo price. It’s moving the right direction though.

I know 2 of the above are also Brookshire Hathaway picks.

Opinions
 
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(C) Citigroup
(Nvda) Nvidia

Both look interesting to me on sell offs

(Snow) Snowflake -( More risk but more reward as well )

Kinda hard to know where this one will land. It’s currently dipped below the ipo price. It’s moving the right direction though.

I know 2 of the above are also Brookshire Hathaway picks.

Opinions
I put C along side AXP (American Express), DFS (Discover)and MA (Mastercard) it appears they have all run flat for a couple of weeks. Without a doubt, people are starting to put groceries and fuel on credit cards. Lots of bear traps in making that move.. Deja Vu. There is an opportunity to make some money holding them long for a couple of months. After a couple of month's I'd set my "Stop Out" really tight and take some profit. But, the future is unknown.
big.chart
 
I bought some Vroom. It might go bankrupt, who knows, but the possible reward is worth the GAMBLE.
 
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Hobo-
Take a look at their (C) financials and value

They might be better compared to US Bank and Bank of America.
 
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As we speak:

Oil (WTI)Commodity​

113.78+3.04+2.75%
10:24:00 AM
NYMEX

I'm hearing echo's of Bigfatcock from earlier this year when he forecasted events linked to the "price of gasoline"... Europe and US markets popped up this morning. Scanning the stories, there is nothing encouraging... The one point of light was that Dollar General had good news.....
Dollar General on Thursday raised its fiscal-year financial forecasts, unlike many other retailers, and beat analysts’ estimates for its fiscal first quarter....

Dollar General ! ! .... I shop there and Dollar Tree cause I'm one of the poors... The discount store shoppers are not going to get us out of this recession.

2022 is starting to have the feeling of a dead stick landing in a little Cessna 140... The end of the runway is at 1/1/2023. JMHO
 
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I am just "timing" the market - not supposed to do that but I am looking for the bottom or closer to the bottom. I quit putting money into the overpriced market quite a while back.
 
As we speak:

Oil (WTI)Commodity​

113.78+3.04+2.75%
10:24:00 AM
NYMEX

I'm hearing echo's of Bigfatcock from earlier this year when he forecasted events linked to the "price of gasoline"... Europe and US markets popped up this morning. Scanning the stories, there is nothing encouraging... The one point of light was that Dollar General had good news.....
Dollar General on Thursday raised its fiscal-year financial forecasts, unlike many other retailers, and beat analysts’ estimates for its fiscal first quarter....

Dollar General ! ! .... I shop there and Dollar Tree cause I'm one of the poors... The discount store shoppers are not going to get us out of this recession.

2022 is starting to have the feeling of a dead stick landing in a little Cessna 140... The end of the runway is at 1/1/2023. JMHO
Gas and food prices are things people can’t escape. A big reason spending was high (aside from stimulus) in 2020 is that you could fill up a Silverado for $30-$40. Now it costs you over $100, and your grocery bill is up 40%.

Oh, and your rent is now up 25%

We are a consumer economy. When the majority of people are broke as fuck, they can’t consume.

Remember when gas crashed in 2020 and the Democrats wanted to add $1 to the fuel tax? Glad that didn’t happen.

Sure would have been cool if they let Trump by $3,000,000,000 for the SPR when it dropped, but orange man bad. No worries, Kennedy school of arts got a smooth $25,000,00.

Yes, I’m old enough to remember 2020.
 
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Hard one to call. I think shortages will keep prices elevated, even with demand destruction.
 
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Who believes inflation is just starting vs. we are past the peak?

PCE

View attachment 7878968
Every trend (up or down) will always pause / take a break.. This is how the market makers play the game... It is all about movement.
Visualize sitting in your beach chair, next to a beautiful woman with a cooler full of cold ones. You got there early and set up the perfect distance from the water... Great conversation, great condiments, rubbin' in some lotion while listening to the waves lappin on the beach... In a couple of hours you decide to take a dip in the ocean. To your surprise the water is now 50 yards away from your beach chairs. But, you heard the waves breaking all morning. Well, while you were distracted the tide went out. The tide of a booming economy is going out, don't be distracted by the lapping of the waves (yesterday and today in the market)... While you may feel like you are positioned in the right place, this recession is just getting started. A year from now, the tide will start to come back in, very slowly.
 
You bastard! Let me stock up on beer before you crash my VTI any more than it is!

If you don't mind me asking, could I ask why you're making this decision (my beer buying aside)? Thanks in advance.
These ETFs are held in my Rollover and Roth accounts; thus long-term focus. I believe technology will lead the way in recovery and outperform VTI/VOO over the next 30+ years.

Also VTI is down like 10% vs. QQQ 30% or so.
 
Thank you.

Given your rationale, why not go for something like ARKK? It's down a lot more and is tech-related.
I don't think that is a bad move; however, ARKK is much more focused on next-gen innovation. ARKK might very well outperform VTI/QQQ going forward.