NE Florida ALERT: Make hurricane preparations ASAP.

#101
Took a closer look at some nerd stuff. Looks like the Bahamas are going to get it good and hard.

The track right now seems to show storm center tracking just offshore of the FL coast. Due to some wind flow that is forecasted to develop it also looks like it may slow significantly right as it nears the FL coast near Okeechobee. If this happens it will prolong the effects of the storm in the area.

I have seen these do a sudden jump west in their track rather quickly before, and IF this one does, which it is not showing signs of doing, S FL is going to be hit hard. In other words this is going to not be too bad or it is going to be a real bugger. It mostly depends on a slight variation of winds off a high pressure system and a slight low pressure trough that are moving near this storm and how those interact. This means that it is quite possible for the storm to move west a bit and surprise folks, but meager betting odds are favoring it to go up the coast. Be ready and defer to NHC and local authorities for guidance. This is only my opinion.
 
#102
69340293_10220522451637942_389779290113179648_n.jpg
 
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#105
Dorian is like an old school knuckle ball. Not even the pitcher knows for sure it will cross the plate.

A sit and spin on the Bahamas and then break whatever direction after that.

What a mess for a lot of people now in 4 or 5 states deciding what to do.
 
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#107
I'm dying my neighbor who panicked like he does with every storm just called me to let me know they are coming back made it to the panhandle and then heard it's heading for Carolinas. A few years ago he buys a 5k generator hooked up to house so they can survive the coming apocalypse and runs if it's gonna get a little windy here on the gulf coast. A global warmer/Bernie green new deal end of the world goon the Prius is on it's way back to Tampa....with a family full of people who think the world is about to kick us out of the game. I'm jumping on a boat going fishing....have a good day Floridians.
 
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#110
8pointer said:
I'm dying my neighbor who panicked like he does with every storm just called me to let me know they are coming back made it to the panhandle and then heard it's heading for Carolinas. A few years ago he buys a 5k generator hooked up to house so they can survive the coming apocalypse and runs if it's gonna get a little windy here on the gulf coast. A global warmer/Bernie green new deal end of the world goon the Prius is on it's way back to Tampa....with a family full of people who think the world is about to kick us out of the game. I'm jumping on a boat going fishing....have a good day Floridians.
Click to expand...

Got a great laugh outta that.
I had actually thought about fishing today also.
Decided to stay home and wait for the Ares 4 5-27 that's out for delivery.
It made it safely, so now I need to decide where it will reside.

Will it look funny on an Anschutz? :)

Hope you slay the fish.
 
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#111
Last “big one” Irma, we had a neighbor stop us on the way out of the neighborhood asking us to burrow a generator...

Seems they had bought a very expensive new one, added gas to it, and let her rip. But forgot to add the oil that came with it. It ran for a few before it completely seized
 
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#113
308pirate said:
They must be from down south
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Don't work that way. People don't move north. They only seem to move South. Unless you are talking about south Floridians, and they are just Yankee halfbacks.
Obviously the fuckers have run out of land up north......or they've fucked shit up too bad to live there.
 
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#114
Snuby642 said:
Dorian is like an old school knuckle ball. Not even the pitcher knows for sure it will cross the plate.

A sit and spin on the Bahamas and then break whatever direction after that.

What a mess for a lot of people now in 4 or 5 states deciding what to do.
Click to expand...


Yep. Latest models are saying that the storm is expected to make a turn right and north any time now. So that means there is a real possibility that it can head up the coast and strike Long Island and the tri-state area in the ass again like Sandy.
 
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#116
Mike Casselton said:
Got a great laugh outta that.
I had actually thought about fishing today also.
Decided to stay home and wait for the Ares 4 5-27 that's out for delivery.
It made it safely, so now I need to decide where it will reside.

Will it look funny on an Anschutz? :)

Hope you slay the fish.
Click to expand...
bunch of mangrove snapper ma belly gonna explode soon fryer warming up
 
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#120
well one good thing is at least its not another sighting of that Florida man again . I do wish safety for all in the families and people around that area , and lots of luck maybe it will just blow away or curve back off into the Atlantic .
 
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#126
It sucks because until it turns you are waiting in limbo. I’m out of the cone but still can do nothing till it makes a hard right. The fact that it just moseys and crawls just adds more stress waiting for the all clear.
 
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#127
Why don't you people in FL build homes PR style? Reinforced concrete from the roof to the slab and all structural walls......

It's hard to convey how little of a fuck you give about hurricanes when your house can stand up to an F5 tornado if it's well built.
 
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#128
Mike Casselton said:
Pics, I need pics.
Are they good sized ones or kinda average?

Either way, yeah. Some damn fine eating.

So far, we've made fish tacos from the amberjack. Mmmmm, mmmmm, good!
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na just on the nose maybe a few 12-13". we were gonna hit a few snook drifts got into a mess of mangroves instead we said heck lets invite a bunch of his friend over for dinner and that was it. i'm the last person to reach for a camera when the bite is on i'm fishing unless it's something like a 40" class snook or big reef donkey
 
#129
308pirate said:
Why don't you people in FL build homes PR style? Reinforced concrete from the roof to the slab and all structural walls......

It's hard to convey how little of a fuck you give about hurricanes when your house can stand up to an F5 tornado if it's well built.
Click to expand...
All of the new construction is built to hurricane codes, at least where I am. It’s the trailer parks where people really get fucked.
 
#130
8pointer said:
na just on the nose maybe a few 12-13". we were gonna hit a few snook drifts got into a mess of mangroves instead we said heck lets invite a bunch of his friend over for dinner and that was it. i'm the last person to reach for a camera when the bite is on i'm fishing unless it's something like a 40" class snook or big reef donkey
Click to expand...

I understand completely.
Had a few 100+ fish snook trips this year and never pulled my phone out for pics.

The offshore trip last week was great but the only time my camera came out was while I was resting between fish.

Damn those donkeys are strong. After a half dozen, my reel seat broke on my Penn 8000.

It's funny watching two people reel a fish in trying to coordinate pull up, let down, reel and stop.
To top it off, it wasn't even a keeper...
 
#136
175 Sustained - Gusts over 200

...CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY 5 DORIAN CONTINUING TO INTENSIFY AS IT APPROACHES THE ABACO ISLANDS...

Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that Dorian has continued to intensify, and now has maximum sustained winds near 175 mph (280 km/h), with a minimum central pressure of 922 mb (27.23 inches).

The eyewall of catastrophic Hurricane Dorian is currently reaching the Abaco Islands. This is a life-threatening situation. Residents there should take immediate shelter. Do not venture into the eye if it passes over your location.
Hazards:
- Wind Gusts over 200 mph
- Storm Surge 15 to 20 feet above normal tide levels with higher destructive waves.
These hazards will cause extreme destruction in the affected areas. and will continue for several hours.
SUMMARY OF 930 AM EDT...1330 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.5N 76.6W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM ENE OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND
ABOUT 210 MI...340 KM E OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...175 MPH...280 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...922 MB...27.73 INCHES

69807807_2569783276420470_4487400866155855872_n.jpg
 
#137
Tucker301 said:
175 Sustained - Gusts over 200

...CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY 5 DORIAN CONTINUING TO INTENSIFY AS IT APPROACHES THE ABACO ISLANDS...

Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that Dorian has continued to intensify, and now has maximum sustained winds near 175 mph (280 km/h), with a minimum central pressure of 922 mb (27.23 inches).

The eyewall of catastrophic Hurricane Dorian is currently reaching the Abaco Islands. This is a life-threatening situation. Residents there should take immediate shelter. Do not venture into the eye if it passes over your location.
Hazards:
- Wind Gusts over 200 mph
- Storm Surge 15 to 20 feet above normal tide levels with higher destructive waves.
These hazards will cause extreme destruction in the affected areas. and will continue for several hours.
SUMMARY OF 930 AM EDT...1330 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.5N 76.6W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM ENE OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND
ABOUT 210 MI...340 KM E OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...175 MPH...280 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...922 MB...27.73 INCHES

View attachment 7140048
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At those speeds, it may be that the hurricane hunter aircraft is flying backwards!

I would not want to be in this cone... and since at least one model has this hitting Cape Cod... no one is outside it on the east coast.

What I noted On the long term track is that Newfoundland is going to get the remnants. In the day(s) that AJ and I had been planning on riding across it. That would have been no fun!

Sirhr
 
#138
308pirate said:
Why don't you people in FL build homes PR style? Reinforced concrete from the roof to the slab and all structural walls......

It's hard to convey how little of a fuck you give about hurricanes when your house can stand up to an F5 tornado if it's well built.
Click to expand...

I rode out a super typhoon once in a reinforced concrete block house. It was still a bit concerning due to trees and things flying through the air.
The only damage to the house wound up being a broken window but it was still a bit hairy going through a direct hit even with a really good house.
 
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#139
W54/XM-388 said:
I rode out a super typhoon once in a reinforced concrete block house. It was still a bit concerning due to trees and things flying through the air.
The only damage to the house wound up being a broken window but it was still a bit hairy going through a direct hit even with a really good house.
Click to expand...
The way they pulse is spooky. The sound can make you crazy.
 
#141
lash said:
I think that we’ll all be fine. As long as you don’t live in the storm surge zone and live in a solid block home, all is good. Assuming that there’s not a beautiful old ancient oak outside your place that can cut your home in half when it falls, that is.
Click to expand...
I've got 22 oaks in the yard, you can't see my house from google earth
 
#143
308pirate said:
Why don't you people in FL build homes PR style? Reinforced concrete from the roof to the slab and all structural walls......

It's hard to convey how little of a fuck you give about hurricanes when your house can stand up to an F5 tornado if it's well built.
Click to expand...
All of the hones built in South Florida are built this way, mine in 1972 this way, and since hurricane Andrew in 1992 all newer ones kn SOUTH Florida are built this way.

Central Florida still wood frame

"Because they never have hurricanes go through central Florida. "

Yeah let's see how that works out for you.
 
#145
its all a plot of the dims to get you out of your homes so they can steel your stuff that's probably not even a storm just trumps returning flight from his Russian overloads . overloads I say . or the left over smug from la that's circumventing the earth besides all that lead tainted water from flint Michigan needs to be sold somewhere why not florida .
 
#148
TACC said:
All of the hones built in South Florida are built this way, mine in 1972 this way, and since hurricane Andrew in 1992 all newer ones kn SOUTH Florida are built this way.
Click to expand...
The roof is still wood trusses. I know, my parents moved to Homestead about five years after Andrew into a brand new home.

Wood truss roofs, no matter how well anchored, will never equal a properly poured slab roof.
 
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#149
W54/XM-388 said:
I rode out a super typhoon once in a reinforced concrete block house. It was still a bit concerning due to trees and things flying through the air.
The only damage to the house wound up being a broken window but it was still a bit hairy going through a direct hit even with a really good house.
Click to expand...

It would have to be a massive tree to even crack it.

I saw a new townhome development going up in Wichita, where I lived for 9 years. No basements but the kitchen pantry was actually a poured concrete bunker with a steel door. You got in there when the SHTF and let the house blow away from around you.
 
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