COVID-19 DEATH CHART

GRAYHAIR

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Jan 24, 2019
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Looking at the US covid-19 death chart there is a saw tooth pattern that is telling something. Since I am slow and old, could someone tell me why there is a saw tooth pattern with a low count about every seven days. When I was working, a pattern this uniform would stand out like a sore thumb.
 

hlee

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Looking at the US covid-19 death chart there is a saw tooth pattern that is telling something. Since I am slow and old, could someone tell me why there is a saw tooth pattern with a low count about every seven days. When I was working, a pattern this uniform would stand out like a sore thumb.
Got a link?
 

seanh

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The lies and disinformation come in, facts get released and then you get the down side. Most people are gullible and have memory problems... so then you get the next spike
 

STLSteve

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Here is a link to the world COVID live statistics. There are charts above the country number table that show both the infected and death sawtooth that the OP referenced. If you go into the US tab the same sawtooth charts are under the state number number table.

 

Son of Dorn

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I've been using Worldometers to look at COVID data since early on. Definitely a "sawtooth" pattern to the deaths, at least as reported. Now I suppose maybe it could be that on Monday deaths are reported from over the weekend? But I noticed that pattern a while ago.

It applies on the state level too, at least here in GA. Or, rather, it did earlier when the pattern was more apparent: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/usa/georgia/

Spikes, slight drop, severe drop, maybe a bit of an increase, and then a spike again. But I do notice two trends here, according to those charts: 1. Seems like daily infection numbers are curving down, and 2. Daily deaths are trending down somewhat too. Now, of course, overall deaths are gonna keep going up, 'cause until we find a cure for death or can Thanos-snap death into nonbeing, the number of deaths will continue to increase overall on account of people generally tend to die at the end of their life. I hear a "400K dead by January" number being thrown around by... Fauci or somebody? How many people in the "COVID Death" age group and of similar medical history died between May 2019 and January 2020, do you think? A few hundred thousand, perhaps? People do tend to do that, it's something of a requisite for being alive or so I hear.
 
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E. Bryant

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For as long as I've been looking at the charts, Tuesday has been the worst of the week. You should be worried if you don't see a pattern like that.

Use a 7-day moving average and you can get a better idea of the overall trend (although the occasional "data dump" will cause an artificial spike).

Screenshot_20200916-153143.png

Even with a rolling average filter applied, there remains a significant problem with the reporting of deaths that occurred well before the date upon which they were officially recorded. To put this another way, some number of the deaths reported yesterday occurred over the previous weekend, some of them happened a few weeks ago, and a non-insignificant number are being drawn from a pool of perhaps 50,000 or so deaths that are thought to have occurred at various points over the past several months but haven't yet been recorded as Covid-19 deaths.

All that being said, we are certainly seeing a downward trend, and hopefully it continues as the weather worsens in the northern states. Traditional flu season is right around the corner, but it's much too early to predict how this illness might behave. I suspect that many areas have already achieved sufficient immunity from the spring wave.
 
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Maggot

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Check this out. If you compare total cases/deaths per million population.

China:

593

USA

20,573607

Why do these lowlife pieces of shit Chinks have, proportionately, such lower cases/deaths, when they are the ones who started the whole thing.

Time to blow a dam.
 
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rlarsen462

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Check this out. If you compare total cases/deaths per million population.

China:

593

USA

20,573607

Why do these lowlife pieces of shit Chinks have, proportionately, such lower cases/deaths, when they are the ones who started the whole thing.

Time to blow a dam.
Because they are a communist government with total iron fist control over all communication, official or otherwise? In other words, they are completely full of shit?
 

candyx

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Fox News reported that some Doctors have come forward which their stories are being suppressed that they have been pressured to list deaths as Covid 19 when they weren't . They been saying follow the science but they are really following the politics, we have been shown fake news and I'm starting to think we have fake doctors and scientist now.
 

GRAYHAIR

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Jan 24, 2019
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I've been using Worldometers to look at COVID data since early on. Definitely a "sawtooth" pattern to the deaths, at least as reported. Now I suppose maybe it could be that on Monday deaths are reported from over the weekend? But I noticed that pattern a while ago.

It applies on the state level too, at least here in GA. Or, rather, it did earlier when the pattern was more apparent: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/usa/georgia/

Spikes, slight drop, severe drop, maybe a bit of an increase, and then a spike again. But I do notice two trends here, according to those charts: 1. Seems like daily infection numbers are curving down, and 2. Daily deaths are trending down somewhat too. Now, of course, overall deaths are gonna keep going up, 'cause until we find a cure for death or can Thanos-snap death into nonbeing, the number of deaths will continue to increase overall on account of people generally tend to die at the end of their life. I hear a "400K dead by January" number being thrown around by... Fauci or somebody? How many people in the "COVID Death" age group and of similar medical history died between May 2019 and January 2020, do you think? A few hundred thousand, perhaps? People do tend to do that, it's something of a requisite for being alive or so I hear.
If ten people die of covid-19 each day for a week and the data is sent in on Monday, does the chart show 70 people died on Monday or ten died each day of the week?
 

army_eod

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Check this out. If you compare total cases/deaths per million population.

China:

593

USA

20,573607

Why do these lowlife pieces of shit Chinks have, proportionately, such lower cases/deaths, when they are the ones who started the whole thing.

Time to blow a dam.
 

E. Bryant

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Didnt they just reclass the US numbers last week from something like 160k deaths down to like 8k or something?
That's the "no cormorbidity" number (meaning sometime died without a pre-existing condition like high blood pressure, being fat, etc.).

I'm simply impressed that they could find 8,000 victims who weren't otherwise unhealthy. I don't know what the percentage of Americans are without pre-existing conditions, but a quick look around the supermarket suggests that it's probably under 10%, and that's just the stuff that's visually obvious.
 

2aBaCa

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Behind enemy lines Northern Commiefornia
Check this out. If you compare total cases/deaths per million population.

China:

593

USA

20,573607

Why do these lowlife pieces of shit Chinks have, proportionately, such lower cases/deaths, when they are the ones who started the whole thing.

Time to blow a dam.
Comparing the most under reported and most over reported.

100% guarantee china's numbers are under reported but you might also ask why our numbers are so inflated and exaggerated.

Makes you wonder what other countries are complicit in manipulating the numbers to fit the globalist agenda?
 

DocRDS

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Check this out. If you compare total cases/deaths per million population.

China:

593

USA

20,573607

Why do these lowlife pieces of shit Chinks have, proportionately, such lower cases/deaths, when they are the ones who started the whole thing.

Time to blow a dam.
Thats the number China quotes, but of course that number (Cases/deaths) has been unchanged since March. LIke Gays in Iran (lil call back for you people), there is no Covid in China. The professional Data Science term for China's numbers a is "Total Bullshit"

THe Sawtooth is what you see for any daily metric--loans/travel/helpdesk tickets/etc...

Leave the Dam, it'll fail on its own soon anyway, but that's another thread.



https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/china/
Yup, totally legit.
 

oldfart80

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Check this out. If you compare total cases/deaths per million population.

China:

593

USA

20,573607

Why do these lowlife pieces of shit Chinks have, proportionately, such lower cases/deaths, when they are the ones who started the whole thing.

Time to blow a dam.
Because Covid was an attack on the U.S. They made sure Trump will not be able to retaliate all with the help of their democrats friends in DC. China knows whats coming for them and that's why we have to vote for our lives and get covid gone ASAP. All American lives lost must be paid for.
 
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Sheldon N

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The graph on this page is I think a better way to visualize what's going on. No messing with cause of death classification fudging, just a straight look at how many people are dying in the US every week and how that stacks up against the average.


It suggests there are more total deaths than normal since March of this year. 200k is not an out of line estimate. For perspective though there have been 2.2M deaths so far this year, so even if there were 200k COVID deaths, that's only like 9% of the total deaths out there.
 
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theLBC

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Leaked emails between the senior adviser to Nashville's Mayor and a health department official reveal a disturbing effort to conceal extremely low coronavirus cases emanating from bars and restaurants, while the lion's share of infections occurred in nursing homes and construction workers, according to WZTV Nashville.

 

E. Bryant

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The graph on this page is I think a better way to visualize what's going on. No messing with cause of death classification fudging, just a straight look at how many people are dying in the US every week and how that stacks up against the average.


It suggests there are more total deaths than normal since March of this year. 200k is not an out of line estimate. For perspective though there have been 2.2M deaths so far this year, so even if there were 200k COVID deaths, that's only like 9% of the total deaths out there.
Excess deaths are a valuable source of data for sizing up the overall impact of the pandemic, but unfortunately they don't tell us much about the current state of affairs. The daily numbers are also all fudged up by this latency in reporting. This makes it impossible to understand the current risk level, which then means that policymakers do whatever they wish.

I am very curious to see how the weekly toll stacks up through the rest of the year. Assume for the moment that there is no dreaded "second wave" (but maybe still a continuation of the first wave as it rolls through rural areas that have escaped so far). Will we still see the typical spike in death rate caused by the start of the flu season, or have some of those deaths already be pulled-ahead by the spring Covid wave?
 

E. Bryant

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Leaked emails between the senior adviser to Nashville's Mayor and a health department official reveal a disturbing effort to conceal extremely low coronavirus cases emanating from bars and restaurants, while the lion's share of infections occurred in nursing homes and construction workers, according to WZTV Nashville.

Here in Michigan, there has been zero transparency about the actual source of cases. We know that nursing homes are responsible for 30-50% of the deaths in most counties, but the cause of overall cases and outcomes is a complete mystery.
 

theLBC

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Here in Michigan, there has been zero transparency about the actual source of cases. We know that nursing homes are responsible for 30-50% of the deaths in most counties, but the cause of overall cases and outcomes is a complete mystery.
well you can bet that if the numbers fit their narrative, they would tell you everything.
 

supercorndogs

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The graph on this page is I think a better way to visualize what's going on. No messing with cause of death classification fudging, just a straight look at how many people are dying in the US every week and how that stacks up against the average.


It suggests there are more total deaths than normal since March of this year. 200k is not an out of line estimate. For perspective though there have been 2.2M deaths so far this year, so even if there were 200k COVID deaths, that's only like 9% of the total deaths out there.
That spike would be right about the time 5 governors were putting COVID patients into nursing homes. Those people account for 40% of the total deaths so far. They could have caused the same spike by sending flu patients to nursing homes.

It also seems to me like I have spent my entire life hearing about how important early treatment is. Their treatment strategy is waiting until high risk patients are dying before they treat them. It would seem to me like that would drive up death numbers.
 

Baron23

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Here in Michigan, there has been zero transparency about the actual source of cases. We know that nursing homes are responsible for 30-50% of the deaths in most counties, but the cause of overall cases and outcomes is a complete mystery.
That’s cause Gretchen is a fascist cunt.