I've never asked Manners for a lead estimate, as they are all over the place. Read through the thread, some people wait 13-14 months, sometimes people randomly get them in 3-4 months.
That being said - and it has never happened to me before, but this time I am on week 6 after getting the email it was 1-2 weeks out, and my stock hasn't shipped. I did call Manners to ask around week 4 - sometimes its hard to get them on the phone so I just called once - and they didn't really have an answer for me as to why, just said its still in finishing. Previous stocks I have purchased shipped out within the 2 week timeframe. Previously when I ordered stocks they were also very respondent to emails, this time its hit or miss. Maybe they are just slammed - although I did order one during COVID when everything was crazy and this stuff didn't happen.
However, I do love their stocks.