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Recession - 2022 / 2023 / 2024

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Anyone care to define what the definition of "extended" is ?

The world’s biggest asset manager BlackRock said the era of steady growth and inflation was over as it revealed it had slashed its exposure to developed market equities and was bracing for extended period of volatility.
 
Anyone care to define what the definition of "extended" is ?

The world’s biggest asset manager BlackRock said the era of steady growth and inflation was over as it revealed it had slashed its exposure to developed market equities and was bracing for extended period of volatility.
This is worrisome.
 
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the real problem is that companies cannot manage growth. when things slow down, companies that slash jobs quickly truly are the poorly run companies. Managing the upswing is far more important than managing the downturn
 
the real problem is that companies cannot manage growth. when things slow down, companies that slash jobs quickly truly are the poorly run companies. Managing the upswing is far more important than managing the downturn
I see a lot of the issues are with the "culture" and not the "business". American's that are 32 years old have never lived through hard times. The pandemic was simply the "Icing on the Cake" with an over abundance of free money (paid rent, child credits, medical, food, etc). Immigrants were supposed to fill the positions where the lazy American's would not work. Why should they work when they are getting Government money like never before ?

Two more generations and this country will be down the drain.
 
Chopping dead wood.

On Monday, reports surfaced that Meta leadership had urged employees to identify and report “low performers,” adding “they are failing this company.”

If everyone is working remote - why pay to keep empty facilities clean, etc. Everyone should see the collapse of commercial real estate and all the jobs associated with corporate office maintenance, upkeep, etc. This will also impact all the restaurants, dry cleaners, parking garages, etc. located next to big HQs.
 
the real problem is that companies cannot manage growth. when things slow down, companies that slash jobs quickly truly are the poorly run companies. Managing the upswing is far more important than managing the downturn
Big companies now all run by "finance" people - all about the short term spreadsheet - these CEOs often have no knowledge of the core business.
 
(CNN Business)Google plans to slow its pace of hiring for the remainder of the year in the latest sign of tech companies rethinking staffing amid a market downturn that has hit Silicon Valley particularly hard.
Sundar Pichai, CEO of Google and parent company Alphabet, announced the news on Tuesday in an internal memo, noting "the uncertain global economic outlook." Google confirmed the authenticity of the letter to CNN Business, but declined to comment further.
 
The cultures in America have changed. No one, private or public, has taken the time to publicize what has evolved.
The only thing that too much free money buys is a recession.
So, here we are, the free money was spent. The majority of it bought intangible "goods". Sure, we can quibble over the intangibles.
Free money meant to pay rent was squandered and landlords sold their properties at inflated prices and walked away from the train wreck.
Big corporations bought back their own stock with free money and now share prices are falling (Apple, Google, Microsoft, etc). Charts for the 3 biggest buybacks.
Time to "Pay the Piper" for all those who danced free for the past 20 years.

big.chart

big.chart

big.chart

 
A lot of turbulence in the commodities this year.
so, one place say's copper prices are going to soar..
and the other says Copper Prices Plummet To Lowest Levels Since 2020
In other news, china is buying US farmland and having bank runs in their homeland. People can't get their cash.
 
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In other news

Monday is deadline - 7/18/22​

This sounds familiar at most corporations. Cut jobs and expect the workers to pick up the additional load. Meanwhile, executives get bonus for reducing labor.
-frustrated they haven't had a raise since 2019, and they're fed up with the working conditions and schedules they have to endure after the major freight railroads cut nearly one-third of their jobs over the past six years as they overhauled operations.​
 
In other news

Monday is deadline - 7/18/22​

This sounds familiar at most corporations. Cut jobs and expect the workers to pick up the additional load. Meanwhile, executives get bonus for reducing labor.
-frustrated they haven't had a raise since 2019, and they're fed up with the working conditions and schedules they have to endure after the major freight railroads cut nearly one-third of their jobs over the past six years as they overhauled operations.​
Worldwide..
Trains are shutting down
 
Energy costs for German households could soar significantly later this year, the country's energy industry has warned, with one company suggesting this could lead to social unrest.
Per a Reuters report, energy sector officials said that household energy costs could increase threefold from current levels, with one industry executive saying annual costs could rise from 1,500 euros to 4,700 euros by October.
 
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Worldwide..
Trains are shutting down
Be careful what you ask for. This could take the recession to a whole new level if it lasts any real length of time. Also, has anyone thought that this might just fall exactly into the WEF plans? Who is behind the push for this? If it is the workers themselves, fine, I get it and am sympathetic. But IMO it needs to be looked into who is captializing on the dissatisfaction of these workers.
 
Be careful what you ask for. This could take the recession to a whole new level if it lasts any real length of time. Also, has anyone thought that this might just fall exactly into the WEF plans? Who is behind the push for this? If it is the workers themselves, fine, I get it and am sympathetic. But IMO it needs to be looked into who is captializing on the dissatisfaction of these workers.
I share your feelings. Many times we worked under an "extended contract" with a retroactive clause dating back to the date of the old contract. Pay and conditions were as good as money in the bank.That, in itself, became a bargaining chip for the negotiators.
A country will never regain what is lost during a transportation shut down. Part of the plan ?
 
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So... What does "Heathrow" know that it is not sharing with the rest of the world... Making "Demands"... Could become one big mess to strand 300,000 +/- people there if things came to a halt. Not like you could load them on a train.

Earlier this week, Heathrow made a demand to airlines to stop selling summer travel tickets, after imposing a cap of 100,000 passengers per day departing the airport in order to cut down long lines, cancellations and baggage retrieval delays.
 
Starting to identify a trend of world leaders resigning and heading for the hills. Who will be left to lead ?
Boris Johnson is a British politician who has been serving as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom
Gotabaya Rajapaksa has resigned as president of Sri Lanka
Add Willy Linares to the growing list of people in Sonoma County elected to public office who have bowed out

A new survey of local election officials released Thursday by the Brennan Center for Justice found that 1 in 5 local election administrators say they are likely to leave their jobs before the 2024 presidential election.

 
So... What does "Heathrow" know that it is not sharing with the rest of the world... Making "Demands"... Could become one big mess to strand 300,000 +/- people there if things came to a halt. Not like you could load them on a train.

Earlier this week, Heathrow made a demand to airlines to stop selling summer travel tickets, after imposing a cap of 100,000 passengers per day departing the airport in order to cut down long lines, cancellations and baggage retrieval delays.

Odd they only have 2018 and older on traffic statistics..
 
Odd they only have 2018 and older on traffic statistics..
Pandemic probably skewed the numbers. Here's another one

Is London Heathrow the busiest airport in the world?

London Heathrow is back at the number one spot for the busiest international airline capacity in the world. The UK airport was number one previously in 2019 and according to aviation data firm OAG, there will be 762,000 departing seats offered this week.May 18, 2022
 
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Yea, I was curious to see how hard the pandemic hit their numbers. Heathrow, probably didn't want to release numbers, since another airport could claim the title. who knows.....
 
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How far off is sometime down the road.” ?

Jamie Dimon, today:
He then rattled off a number of warning signs, saying: “But geopolitical tension, high inflation, waning consumer confidence, the uncertainty about how high rates have to go and the never-before-seen quantitative tightening and their effects on global liquidity, combined with the war in Ukraine and its harmful effect on global energy and food prices are very likely to have negative consequences on the global economy sometime down the road.”
 
This topic has / will be discussed more. In some ways, it is not adding up like the fertilizer shortages.

Costs of chemicals used in making key goods, including pharmaceuticals, rubber, and plastics, are soaring as the rally in crude oil prices this year pushed up the price of petrochemical feedstocks. But higher oil prices are not the only reason for record-high prices of benzene, toluene, and xylene.

 
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Government reports retail sales this morning.
Retail sales number does not even keep up with inflation. Retail sales are, in reality, going down.

Some comments:
BREAKING: Retail sales rose 1 percent in June, as Americans continued to spend. The report could prompt a stronger response from Federal Reserve officials, who are trying to cool the economy, reports
@thesimonetti

Unlike many other economic-data reports produced by the U.S. government, retail sales aren’t adjusted for inflation. That means higher retail-sales figures can reflect higher prices rather than more purchases.

Retail sales in the US jumped 1% mom in June of 2022, beating forecasts of a 0.8% gain, and recovering from a downwardly revised 0.1% drop in May. Figures showed consumer spending remains robust but also reflect a general increase in prices for goods and services. Retail sales aren’t adjusted for inflation. Sales at gasoline stations recorded the biggest increase (3.6%), followed by sales at nonstore retailers (2.2%)

 
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Government reports retail sales this morning.
Retail sales number does not even keep up with inflation. Retail sales are, in reality, going down.

Some comments:
BREAKING: Retail sales rose 1 percent in June, as Americans continued to spend. The report could prompt a stronger response from Federal Reserve officials, who are trying to cool the economy, reports
@thesimonetti

Unlike many other economic-data reports produced by the U.S. government, retail sales aren’t adjusted for inflation. That means higher retail-sales figures can reflect higher prices rather than more purchases.


Retail sales in the US jumped 1% mom in June of 2022, beating forecasts of a 0.8% gain, and recovering from a downwardly revised 0.1% drop in May. Figures showed consumer spending remains robust but also reflect a general increase in prices for goods and services. Retail sales aren’t adjusted for inflation. Sales at gasoline stations recorded the biggest increase (3.6%), followed by sales at nonstore retailers (2.2%)

the big call out
higher retail-sales figures can reflect higher prices rather than more purchases.

so prices go up 25%, and the GOV is trying to tell everyone that a 1% increase in retail sales shows 'nothing to fear'. wow.
Gov loves inflation; look at the increase in TAXes you are paying because McD's increased prices by 50%. 8% tax on 2 dollars vs 8% tax on 3 dollars. (inflation)
 
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the big call out
higher retail-sales figures can reflect higher prices rather than more purchases.

so prices go up 25%, and the GOV is trying to tell everyone that a 1% increase in retail sales shows 'nothing to fear'. wow.
Gov loves inflation; look at the increase in TAXes you are paying because McD's increased prices by 50%. 8% tax on 2 dollars vs 8% tax on 3 dollars. (inflation)
American's are "Dumb as a Box of Rocks". The reason ?... Cultures have changed thanks to:
No child left behind
Head Start
Equal Opportunity
Everyone gets a trophy
Social Promotion
The "HR Department"

Standards (Grading in school, work ethics, specifications, etc) have consistently been lowered over the past 60 years.
We are living with the results of a failed social experiment.
 
Maff be rayciss and shee-it.
Maybe not.... IDK
Remember the day when there was a stamp (mill spec sheet) on pipe, valves and fittings that said "Exceeds minimum standard specifications" ?
Not seeing that any more... Nothing exceeds and with QC checking one in every thousand, much of it is below spec. The culture is to accept less.
 
Worldwide..
Trains are shutting down