PortaJohn

#62,751
wPECM0JtjYi8.jpeg
 
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#62,752
Mwalex said:
www.breitbart.com

Biden After Beating Coronavirus: Keep Wearing Masks and Get Vaccinated

President Joe Biden emerged from coronavirus isolation Wednesday urging Americans to continue wearing masks indoors.
www.breitbart.com

These fuckers have completely given up on what "vaccine" means.
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FPPJB! They can put all the mask, vax, no sex, social distancing, stay home, mandates they want. I think, we Americans are done with that shit. Serious FAIL, on .gov..
People (well...99% of us, anyways, b/c, there is those..."sheeple") are NOT playing anymore. Mac(y)(y)
 
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#62,754
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#62,755
Choid said:
I'm not 100% sure we are. But basically, I think markets have significant risk right now, which is a pretty common belief. Relatively uncontroversial. However, I think those risks are much more balanced than those who expect runaway inflation. This may get a little wordy, but you have to look at a number of current drivers.

First, is the obvious monetary inflation that we have seen. Worst case scenario is pretty well played out and understood in this thread and others. Realistically, we are seeing a less strong connection between fiscal policy and inflation, medium long term, than people had expected. This is both in purposeful fiscal inflation, which is what stimulus is, and non purposeful fiscal damage, which is basically just irresponsible/excess spending. But certainly there are worries on the inflation front.

Second, look at policy with regard to employment. I think it is fair to say that current Biden policy is negative for employment. I'm not going to comment on whether it is stupidity or whether it is intentional, but it is clear that there are significant disincentives to work. Today I am reading about a push for more checks to go out, so clearly they are doubling down on this. Now, low employment is obviously somewhat deflationary, as benefit checks never reach the level of actual wages. It is probably not highly deflationary, but it is hard on the economy. Some might argue that there will be fewer goods available without workers, but this is greatly mitigated with re-offshoring, which is quite viable, again from a new policy perspective. And again, offshoring is deflationary.

Third, look at policy tools available to the federal reserve. There are literally all the tools in the world available to fight inflation. What I mean by that is the looser the fed is in relation to standard practices, the easier it is for them to move in the other direction. They have literally no tools left to become more expansionary than they are now. Those are just facts. Some will argue that these people want inflation, or they want to ruin the world as we know it. I neither believe that nor am putting that in my analysis. If that is their goal, no other analysis really matters.

Fourth is whether there is true pricing power in the market for inflation to take place. I think the jury is still very much out on this one. Pricing power tends to exist in pockets, not economy wide.

So, looking at all of the factors, and frankly these are not all of the factors, you really have many forces working in opposition, which is why I think the risks are high, but balanced. I'd say "hyper inflation" probably has a risk of 2%. I'd say moderate inflation with low growth, not quite stagflation, but a generally shitty economy, has about a 30% chance. Real stagflation is probably 15-20%. Serious asset damage with a contraction enough to be deflationary is probably another 15%, and we make it through this relatively unscathed with random dislocations is probably 30%. Not sure if that adds to a hundred.

I guess, in conclusion, I think there are a good number of risks, but the most likely outcome is definitely a meh to ok economy. Of course, in normal times the chances of an ok economy are very high, so this isn't exactly a ringing endorsement. But even if, by some measures, high inflation looks like the scariest prospect, it is also the scenario for which we retain the greatest number of policy tools. The nightmare scenario, I believe, is large asset contraction for which we have no remaining policy tools, and which would leave every other part of the economy in significant peril, while also living in a world where we now basically realize that fiscal policy is impotent to stabilize in these situations.

I hope that makes some sense. I am not saying I am right, that is just my analysis. It is definitely not my way, as people might be able to tell, to decide that there is one obvious thing ahead and latch onto that. I don't have that level of certainty in anything.
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Aging like fine wine.
 
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#62,758
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#62,760
theLBC said:
they are proud to be a sanctuary city, so even if they catch criminals, they promised not to have them deported.
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I have to say well done to Texas and Arizona. When they first talked about doing this I was thought it was more political hot air.

It’s truly going to fuck up DC, New York, and other cities. I hope they keep going.
 
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#62,761
Bigfatcock said:
I have to say well done to Texas and Arizona. When they first talked about doing this I was thought it was more political hot air.

It’s truly going to fuck up DC, New York, and other cities. I hope they keep going.
Click to expand...
no doubt some of our taxes will go to a soros group to warn migrants not to get on buses.
 
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#62,764
Mwalex said:
Okay, in an effort to be more sensitive rename the virus to Faggotpox as it is mostly in the gay community.
Click to expand...
Considering that the study of some 500 cases outside of Africa determined 98% were men fucking other men and of these 95% had confirmed transmission route through sex so Faggotpox would be appropriate.
 
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#62,767
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#62,777
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#62,793
Bender said:
W
H
A
T

T
H
E

F
U
C
K


View attachment 7921891
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wtf?

i have a buddy that was down on his luck after leaving the military and got a job working for the parks department as a janitor basically.
they had him cleaning bathrooms at the state beaches. he said in the morning he might find the most of the walls covered in shit.
they provided a hose to wash everything down....he assumed it was bums or something, but maybe this is closer to the truth.
anyway, he only lasted a week of that shit.
 
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#62,794
Bender said:
Try since 1913 with the Fed and federal Income Tax.
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Touche, you're correct.

Though I'd say "HW" pushed the throttle down and accelerated all the "spy apparatus and such" and his son helped continue that with the "electronic voting" push. Don't get me wrong, KLINTON sold us to china, then we have Obama I and Obama II and now Obama III.
 
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#62,795
BytorJr said:
Touche, you're correct.

Though I'd say "HW" pushed the throttle down and accelerated all the "spy apparatus and such" and his son helped continue that with the "electronic voting" push. Don't get me wrong, KLINTON sold us to china, then we have Obama I and Obama II and now Obama III.
Click to expand...
You are not wrong. Bush family is evil
 
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#62,799
Bender said:
View attachment 7921925
Click to expand...


The wait can be shortened on certain nights too...




$1000 and it can send a few more antigun America-hating treasonous scum off a cliff of their own making earlier than expected. All the teddy bears in the world cannot stop your walls shaking once this bad boy gets lit.
 
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#62,800
Blue Sky Country said:
The wait can be shortened on certain nights too...




$1000 and it can send a few more antigun America-hating treasonous scum off a cliff of their own making earlier than expected. All the teddy bears in the world cannot stop your walls shaking once this bad boy gets lit.
Click to expand...

Out there for 400 euro which should be about $400 now with current exchange.

pyrozeus.com

TXB869 BATERIA 600S 1.2″ TRIPLEX

Waga prochu [g] 8768 Dolot [m] 25 Czas [s] 300 Zapakowanie 1/1 Kaliber [cal] 1.2" Klasa ADR 1.3G Ilość strzałów 600 Kategoria CE F4
pyrozeus.com pyrozeus.com
 
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