Been a long time since I posted anything here. Retired from my LE career, doing other things these days.
Let's assess the situation according to logical principles. Occam's razor holds true in almost all situations: the simplest, least complex answer requiring the fewest logical leaps, conspirators, or chains of events is usually true.
I've found that extended conspiracies are rarely the right answer. Not never, but rarely. It's unlikely that this was anything complicated. The "but the jews!" crowd is out, insisting this must be a professional Mossad operation because the shot was so hard, and the shooter temporarily escaped, etc. The other conspiracists suggest everyone from Russian intelligence to the CIA to the boogaloo boys must have done it.
But all of you here who actually do what this forum is here for know better. You or I could easily have done this and temporarily escaped. It's not actually hard. University campuses are a very, very soft target. From other shootings, we know that if police (or better yet and more likely, an armed citizen) are not in a position to catch and neutralize the shooter immediately, a temporary escape lasting days is not unusual. The rifle was not suppressed, it is an old bolt rifle, and it is not what an expert would choose. The position was not what an expert would choose. Rooftop, highly exposed, with a visible exfil? The shot was not hard, and yet does not appear to have been particularly accurate. The timing was not what an intel agency would choose. Most intel agency assassinations have happened at home, while driving point-to-point on known routines, etc; and most are very low visibility. Many are deniable, and made to look like accidents. Intel agencies don't accidentally galvanize their opposition.
On to the realistic outcomes and solving this:
I've worked as an LE investigator; it's rare for police and the FBI to release evidence immediately, and rare for evidence to be processed within the first few days. It's likely there are prints and even DNA on the rifle. There are footprints and there IS surveillance video. Remember when people were trying to claim a professional hit because the shooter "avoided cameras"? Shooter didn't avoid cameras after all. Just because we haven't seen evidence yet doesn't mean it doesn't exist.
Given what we know of the rifle and ammunition conditions, the scene, the technique and weapon used, and the similarities to recent shootings and the language on their weapons and accessories, we're most likely looking at one of the deranged leftist freaks. Trans and far-leftist ideology, antifa leanings, and with terroristic tendencies. This falls right in line with the recent trend: Nashville Covenant school shooting March 2023, Antifa/Transtifa attack on ICE in Texas in July 2025, Minneapolis church school shooter August 2025, and the Zizian trans/antifa terror cell murders and attempted murders in 2022, 2023, and 2025.
When the shooter is found, a deep dive into all electronics, online communication, and personal connections should be done. It's likely there will be links to others, and it would be good to start tearing these networks and groups apart from the inside. If federal intel agencies are embedding people in the 3-percenter, Oathkeepers, and local militia groups, it should be the case that they're ALSO targeting antifa, John Brown Gun Clubs, the "pink" gun clubs, etc. Any indication that that's not happening is simply an indication of an ideological bias at the fed agencies, and let's be honest, that would not be surprising at all: these are the same people who took guidance from the SPLC's list of "dangerous hate groups" which included traditional Catholics, the Family Research Council (for opposing LGBTQ+ ideology), and Moms for Liberty (for advocating for parental rights in education). When I was still in LE, an SPLC briefing on "hate groups" was brought to roll call by our shift's resident leftist idiot. Our response? "Get that shit out of here and never bring that group up again." I hope the FBI has course-corrected away from overlooking politically-inconvenient violent groups, but the attacks on federal agents in Portland and Seattle continue without signs of mass arrests. Hopefully the people in position now will do more than a "Ladies and gentlemen, we got him", and will dig deeper to find and charge ANY connected parties with knowledge in Charlie's case, and in the rest of them.
Killing those who are willing to listen and debate is a tactical error. The rightward shift that ensues is something they should fear. Losing a debate is one thing, and though it may inspire them with rage that the facts and logic don't support them, it's not like actually losing for real. People are hardening their positions. They saw Dems in congress shout and jeer when asked to take a moment of silence and pray for Charlie. Compromise is becoming increasingly unlikely or outright impossible. A two-tiered justice system is unsustainable, having violence forced on us by government is untenable, and this nation is becoming a powderkeg.
I see one way out without descending into chaos, and that is an iron-fisted government clampdown on all of the left extremists and those who praise and glorify violence online. Words used to have consequences, you might get shot or at least punched in the mouth. 18 U.S.C. § 2101: Anti-Riot Act (Incitement to Riot) Criminalizes traveling in interstate commerce or using facilities of interstate commerce (e.g., online platforms) with intent to incite, organize, or participate in a riot, or to aid and abet it. A "riot" involves violence by three or more people acting together. This can apply to online calls for violence against individuals or groups if they incite imminent disorder. Penalties: Up to 5 years in prison and fines.
When was the last time you saw that enforced? Certainly not during the May Day riots in 07, Occupy in 2011, the Ferguson riots in 2014, the Baltimore riots in 2015, Floyd riots in 2020, Atlanta anti-police riots in 2023, the anti-ICE riots in 2025. Oh, it did get used once...for the Jan. 6 riots. Notice anything?
Finally: Rest in Peace, Charlie. He was one of the good ones. A generous man, willing to hear out his ideological opponents and challenge their thinking as they challenged his. Debate and discussion, not violence or power. A dependable, considerate, and kind man in an industry that is full of egos and not a few grifters. A man of faith and prayer, a young father, and a warrior for truth.