I'm probably the worst shooter here, but in my attempt to understand what happened, I tried to replicate this shot.
Caveats: I know that 30.06 and 77gr smks have different flight paths, I know he was shooting from a downward angle which can cause low hits, etc 10 other things I haven't thought of.
When I first saw it happen I was sure it was a single rifle shot - what I didn't initially understand was why someone would aim for the neck (thinnest / smallest target). I also guessed the round was a 308 (it wasn't, but close enough). A human head is about 8" tall on average, if someone aimed right between the eyes (body armor, no formal training) I loaded up my Hornady app and 4doff and I figured that a regular 762 drops about 5" at 200 yards.
So my initial guess was that the shooter aimed at his head (or his mouth) and didn't account for bullet drop and the round impacted in the clavicle (about 5" low) and the spall from the armor hit (likely some kind of steel plate with no kevlar backing or rhino liner / spall control) his carotid artery.
So I setup a man shaped target at 200 yards, with a 20" barrel and 77gr OTMs, zero'd for 100 yards and aimed right at the center of the head.
The impacts were almost exactly where you see in the video:

Dont mind the follow up shots at the two small targets, those (poor) shots were me later trying to actually figure out my 200 yard hold over.
The vast majority of shots group up perfectly in the (shooters) right clavicle - right where the initial impact appear to be. Rounds impacting shaped body armor right there with no spall control could absolutely result in spall impacting the carotid artery - which is what I saw on the close up video.
Note: I mourn the death of Charlie Kirk, I hate that politics has gotten to this point. I think the us vs them mentality is the strongest best attack anyone has ever used against America and the only way we could be defeated or marginalized is by our own internal strife.
I didn't do this (admittedly poorly conducted) experiment out of sick fascination - I just wanted to understand what happened and verify the facts for myself.
I now believe that almost anyone with moderate firearms experience on a flat range and a little luck could have made this shot. There is nothing special about zero'ing for 100 yards, putting the crosshairs on someone's face, and squeezing the trigger. The idea that this shot required some kind of pro is laughable in hindsight.
The infil/successful exfil is what made me think this was the work of a zealot and not a crazy - and the fact we only got him so fast because his dad turned him in supports this.
Also, trying to blame Israel / the Mossad / Jews for this one is pretty thin and beneath most of you.
Charlie was a friend to us.
Regards,
Caveats: I know that 30.06 and 77gr smks have different flight paths, I know he was shooting from a downward angle which can cause low hits, etc 10 other things I haven't thought of.
When I first saw it happen I was sure it was a single rifle shot - what I didn't initially understand was why someone would aim for the neck (thinnest / smallest target). I also guessed the round was a 308 (it wasn't, but close enough). A human head is about 8" tall on average, if someone aimed right between the eyes (body armor, no formal training) I loaded up my Hornady app and 4doff and I figured that a regular 762 drops about 5" at 200 yards.
So my initial guess was that the shooter aimed at his head (or his mouth) and didn't account for bullet drop and the round impacted in the clavicle (about 5" low) and the spall from the armor hit (likely some kind of steel plate with no kevlar backing or rhino liner / spall control) his carotid artery.
So I setup a man shaped target at 200 yards, with a 20" barrel and 77gr OTMs, zero'd for 100 yards and aimed right at the center of the head.

The impacts were almost exactly where you see in the video:

Dont mind the follow up shots at the two small targets, those (poor) shots were me later trying to actually figure out my 200 yard hold over.
The vast majority of shots group up perfectly in the (shooters) right clavicle - right where the initial impact appear to be. Rounds impacting shaped body armor right there with no spall control could absolutely result in spall impacting the carotid artery - which is what I saw on the close up video.
Note: I mourn the death of Charlie Kirk, I hate that politics has gotten to this point. I think the us vs them mentality is the strongest best attack anyone has ever used against America and the only way we could be defeated or marginalized is by our own internal strife.
I didn't do this (admittedly poorly conducted) experiment out of sick fascination - I just wanted to understand what happened and verify the facts for myself.
I now believe that almost anyone with moderate firearms experience on a flat range and a little luck could have made this shot. There is nothing special about zero'ing for 100 yards, putting the crosshairs on someone's face, and squeezing the trigger. The idea that this shot required some kind of pro is laughable in hindsight.
The infil/successful exfil is what made me think this was the work of a zealot and not a crazy - and the fact we only got him so fast because his dad turned him in supports this.
Also, trying to blame Israel / the Mossad / Jews for this one is pretty thin and beneath most of you.
Charlie was a friend to us.
Regards,